⚽ Ligue 1
Strasbourg vs Monaco Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Strasbourg vs Monaco in the Ligue 1. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 15:15 UTC.
Result: Strasbourg 1-1 Monaco
Strasbourg vs Monaco finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, both teams to score at 1.53, landed.
Strasbourg face Monaco in the upcoming Ligue 1 tips, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 15:15 UTC. Recent form: Strasbourg have 4 wins from their last 5, while Monaco have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Strasbourg won 1, Monaco won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Strasbourg win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.7-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Strasbourg vs Monaco with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| 1 | 5.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| 2 | 4.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| 3 | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| 4 | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Strasbourg vs Monaco comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Strasbourg with a +1.5 start at odds 1.26, with a 84% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Strasbourg win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points yes (68%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Strasbourg and Monaco. Wins shown from Strasbourg’s perspective: Strasbourg 1 · 2 drawn · Monaco 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Strasbourg | 1 – 1 | Monaco | D |
| 2026-05-17 | Strasbourg | 5 – 4 | Monaco | W |
| 2025-08-31 | Monaco | 3 – 2 | Strasbourg | L |
| 2025-04-19 | Monaco | 0 – 0 | Strasbourg | D |
| 2024-11-09 | Strasbourg | 1 – 3 | Monaco | L |
📈 Recent form
Strasbourg come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 6-2 at Estac Troyes. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Paris FC.
- LParis FC 2-1 StrasbourgLigue 1
- DStrasbourg 1-1 MonacoLigue 1
- WEstac Troyes 2-6 StrasbourgLigue 1
- WStrasbourg 2-1 LensLigue 1
- LMarseille 4-0 StrasbourgLigue 1
Monaco come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Gornik Zabrze. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WMonaco 2-1 LensLigue 1
- DStrasbourg 1-1 MonacoLigue 1
- WParis Saint-Germain 1-2 MonacoLigue 1
- WMonaco 2-0 MarseilleLigue 1
- WMonaco 4-1 Gornik ZabrzeUEFA Europa Conference
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- M. GodoMuscle Injury
- J. PanichelliKnee Injury
- F. BalogunInjury
- M. CoulibalyMuscle Injury
- A. FatiCalf Injury
- T. MinaminoLacking Match Fitness
- J. TezeInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Strasbourg at 40% to win and Monaco at 39%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes a Strasbourg win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg Win | 40% | 30% | @ 3.20 |
| Monaco Win | 39% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Draw | 20% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Strasbourg or Draw at 1.70 (64% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg or Draw | 64% | 55% | @ 1.70 |
| Monaco or Draw | 63% | 70% | @ 1.36 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 81% | @ 1.17 |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 | 55% | 60% | @ 1.57 |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 40% | @ 2.38 |
| Under 1.5 | 14% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 68%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 68% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 32% | 38% | @ 2.50 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Strasbourg or Monaco is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Strasbourg +2 | 89% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Strasbourg +1.75 | 87% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| Strasbourg +1.5 | 84% | 75% | @ 1.26 |
| Monaco +1.5 | 83% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Strasbourg +1.25 | 79% | 72% | @ 1.32 |
| Monaco +1.25 | 78% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Strasbourg +1 | 74% | 69% | @ 1.39 |
| Monaco +1 | 73% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Strasbourg +0.75 | 69% | 61% | @ 1.55 |
| Monaco +0.75 | 68% | 75% | 1.26 |
| Strasbourg +0.5 | 64% | 55% | @ 1.74 |
| Monaco +0.5 | 63% | 70% | 1.36 |
| Strasbourg +0.25 | 57% | 48% | @ 2.01 |
| Monaco +0.25 | 56% | 65% | 1.46 |
| Strasbourg 0 | 50% | 40% | @ 2.40 |
| Monaco 0 | 50% | 60% | 1.59 |
| Strasbourg -0.25 | 44% | 35% | @ 2.77 |
| Monaco -0.25 | 43% | 52% | 1.86 |
| Strasbourg -0.5 | 37% | 30% | @ 3.17 |
| Monaco -0.5 | 36% | 45% | 2.12 |
| Strasbourg -0.75 | 32% | 25% | @ 3.88 |
| Monaco -0.75 | 31% | 39% | 2.46 |
| Strasbourg -1 | 27% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Monaco -1 | 26% | 31% | 3.04 |
| Strasbourg -1.25 | 22% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Monaco -1.25 | 21% | 28% | 3.46 |
| Strasbourg -1.5 | 17% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
| Monaco -1.5 | 16% | 25% | 3.70 |
| Monaco -1.75 | 13% | 20% | 4.65 |
| Monaco -2 | 11% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Strasbourg vs Monaco?
Our model's main pick is Strasbourg with a +1.5 start at odds 1.26, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for Strasbourg vs Monaco?
Our model makes a Strasbourg win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.8 scoreline for Strasbourg vs Monaco.
What is the predicted score for Strasbourg vs Monaco?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.68 for Strasbourg and 1.76 for Monaco. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Strasbourg and Monaco play?
Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 15:15 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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