⚽ Serie A

Torino vs AS Roma Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Torino vs AS Roma in the Serie A. Kick-off Monday 14 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Torino face AS Roma in the Serie A, kicking off Monday 14 September 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Torino have 1 win from their last 3, while AS Roma have 3 wins from their last 3. In their last 5 meetings, Torino won 1, AS Roma won 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an AS Roma win the most likely result at 57%, projecting a 1.0-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Torino vs AS Roma with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.27

75%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.96 – 1.75 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.7%	11.6%	10.2%	5.9%	2.6%
1	6.4%	11.2%	9.8%	5.7%	2.5%
2	3.1%	5.4%	4.7%	2.7%	1.2%
3	1.0%	1.7%	1.5%	0.9%	0.4%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 0-1

Torino winDrawAS Roma win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Torino vs AS Roma is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.27, the selection our model is most confident in at 75%. On the match result, the model rates an AS Roma win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 57%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points no (52%).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 1.92, 51% model probability, -2.3% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Torino 21%Draw 22%AS Roma 57%

21%22%57%

57%

AS Roma Win

51%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

-2.3%

Best value: Over 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Torino and AS Roma. Wins shown from Torino’s perspective: Torino 1 · AS Roma 4.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-01-18	Torino	0 – 2	AS Roma	L
2025-09-14	AS Roma	0 – 1	Torino	W
2025-05-25	Torino	0 – 2	AS Roma	L
2024-10-31	AS Roma	1 – 0	Torino	L
2024-02-26	AS Roma	3 – 2	Torino	L

📈 Recent form

Torino

Torino come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Fiorentina. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Monza.

WFiorentina 1-2 TorinoSerie A
LTorino 0-1 MonzaCoppa Italia
LSassuolo 2-1 TorinoSerie A
LTorino 1-2 AC MilanSerie A
WTorino 1-0 CarrareseCoppa Italia

AS Roma

AS Roma come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Lecce. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Brighton.

WAS Roma 2-1 AtalantaSerie A
WLecce 0-4 AS RomaSerie A
WAS Roma 4-0 FiorentinaSerie A
DBorussia Dortmund 2-2 AS RomaFriendlies Clubs
LBrighton 3-0 AS RomaFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Torino at 21% to win and AS Roma at 57%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes an AS Roma win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Torino Win	21%	@ 5.60	+18.3%
AS Roma Win	57%	@ 1.58	-9.7%
Draw	22%	@ 3.80	-17.4%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Torino or Draw at 2.30 (44% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Torino or Draw	44%	@ 2.30	+0.5%
AS Roma or Draw	80%	@ 1.13	-9.9%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 2.5	51%	@ 1.92	-2.3%
Over 1.5	75%	@ 1.27	-4.4%
Over 3.5	29%	@ 3.30	-4.9%
Under 3.5	71%	@ 1.33	-5.3%
Under 2.5	49%	@ 1.87	-8.1%
Under 1.5	25%	@ 3.60	-11.1%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	52%	@ 1.82	-5.6%
BTTS Yes	48%	@ 1.92	-7.6%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Torino vs AS Roma?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.27, with 75% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Torino vs AS Roma?

Our model makes an AS Roma win the most likely result at 57%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.8 scoreline for Torino vs AS Roma.

What is the predicted score for Torino vs AS Roma?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.96 for Torino and 1.75 for AS Roma. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Torino and AS Roma play?

Kick-off is Monday 14 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.