Fri 23 Oct18:45Upcoming

⚽ Serie A

Torino vs Monza Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Torino vs Monza in the Serie A. Kick-off Friday 23 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Torino face Monza in the Serie A, kicking off Friday 23 October 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Torino have 2 wins from their last 5, while Monza have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Torino won 2, Monza won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Torino win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 1.8-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Torino vs Monza with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.33

72%Bookmaker odds imply 72%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.79 – 1.18 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.1%	6.1%	3.6%	1.4%	0.4%
1	9.2%	10.8%	6.4%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.2%	9.7%	5.7%	2.3%	0.7%
3	4.9%	5.8%	3.4%	1.3%	0.4%
4	2.2%	2.6%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Torino winDrawMonza win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Torino vs Monza comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Torino win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points yes (57%).

📊 Key numbers

Torino 52%Draw 29%Monza 19%

52%29%19%

52%

Torino Win

57%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Torino and Monza. Wins shown from Torino’s perspective: Torino 2 · 2 drawn · Monza 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-01	Torino	0 – 1	Monza	L
2025-03-02	Monza	0 – 2	Torino	W
2024-11-24	Torino	1 – 1	Monza	D
2024-03-30	Torino	1 – 0	Monza	W
2023-11-11	Monza	1 – 1	Torino	D

📈 Recent form

Torino

Torino come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Parma. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at home to AS Roma.

WParma 0-3 TorinoSerie A
WTorino 2-1 UdineseSerie A
DBologna 1-1 TorinoSerie A
LTorino 0-2 AS RomaSerie A
WFiorentina 1-2 TorinoSerie A

Monza

Monza come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Cagliari. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Lazio.

WMonza 4-0 CagliariSerie A
LLazio 3-1 MonzaSerie A
DBrest 2-2 MonzaFriendlies Clubs
WMonza 2-1 SassuoloSerie A
LLecce 3-2 MonzaSerie A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Torino

E. IlkhanMuscle Injury
F. IsraelShoulder Injury
N. FortiniThigh Injury

Monza

Y. MayeMuscle Injury
M. PessinaKnee Injury
I. ToureKnee Injury
E. ZeballosKnee Injury
J. ZiolkowskiFoot Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Torino at 52% to win and Monza at 19%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Torino win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Torino Win	52%	44%	@ 2.15
Draw	29%	29%	@ 3.30
Monza Win	19%	27%	@ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Torino or Draw at 1.28 (78% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Torino or Draw	78%	73%	@ 1.28
Monza or Draw	46%	56%	@ 1.67

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	80%	75%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	65%	72%	@ 1.33
Over 2.5	57%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 2.5	43%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 3.5	35%	28%	@ 3.40
Under 1.5	20%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	57%	53%	@ 1.75
BTTS No	43%	47%	@ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

Torino 44%Draw 28%Monza 27%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Torino vs Monza?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Torino vs Monza?

Our model makes a Torino win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.2 scoreline for Torino vs Monza.

What is the predicted score for Torino vs Monza?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.79 for Torino and 1.18 for Monza. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Torino and Monza play?

Kick-off is Friday 23 October 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.