Wed 9 Sep1-0Finished

⚽ Eredivisie

Twente vs Telstar Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Twente vs Telstar in the Eredivisie. Kick-off Wednesday 09 September 2026, 16:45 UTC.

Result: Twente 1-0 Telstar

Twente vs Telstar finished 1-0. Twente won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Twente face Telstar in the upcoming Eredivisie tips, kicking off Wednesday 09 September 2026, 16:45 UTC. Recent form: Twente have 2 wins from their last 3, while Telstar have 1 win from their last 3. In their last 3 meetings, Twente won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Twente win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 1.9-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Twente vs Telstar with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Telstar +2 @ 1.76
76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.89 – 1.10 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 5.0% 5.5% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3%
1 9.5% 10.5% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6%
2 9.0% 9.9% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5%
3 5.7% 6.2% 3.4% 1.3% 0.3%
4 2.7% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
Projected score: 1-1
Twente winDrawTelstar win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Twente vs Telstar comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Telstar with a +2 start at odds 1.76, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Twente win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean over 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points yes (57%).

📊 Key numbers

Twente 56%Draw 24%Telstar 19%
56%24%19%
56%
Twente Win
58%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Twente and Telstar. Wins shown from Twente’s perspective: Twente 1 · 2 drawn.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-09-09 Twente 1 – 0 Telstar W
2026-02-15 Telstar 1 – 1 Twente D
2025-11-07 Twente 0 – 0 Telstar D

📈 Recent form

Twente

Twente come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Cambuur. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

  • WTwente 3-2 PSV EindhovenEredivisie
  • WTwente 2-0 ADO Den HaagEredivisie
  • WTwente 1-0 TelstarEredivisie
  • DGroningen 2-2 TwenteEredivisie
  • WCambuur 1-4 TwenteEredivisie
Telstar

Telstar come into this game with no wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at AZ Alkmaar.

  • LAZ Alkmaar 1-0 TelstarEredivisie
  • DHeerenveen 0-0 TelstarEredivisie
  • LTwente 1-0 TelstarEredivisie
  • DTelstar 2-2 CambuurEredivisie
  • LTelstar 0-4 AjaxEredivisie

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 2 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Twente
  • K. HlynssonNot in squad
  • S. LemkinInjury
Telstar

No absentees reported.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Twente at 56% to win and Telstar at 19%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Twente win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Twente Win 56% 76% @ 1.23
Draw 24% 15% @ 6.40
Telstar Win 19% 9% @ 10.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Twente or Draw at 1.04 (80% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Twente or Draw 80% 91% @ 1.04
Telstar or Draw 43% 24% @ 3.95

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 80% 87% @ 1.08
Under 3.5 65% 49% @ 1.94
Over 2.5 58% 71% @ 1.32
Under 2.5 42% 29% @ 3.25
Over 3.5 35% 51% @ 1.85
Under 1.5 20% 13% @ 7.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 57% 55% @ 1.68
BTTS No 43% 45% @ 2.07

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Twente or Telstar is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Telstar +2 76% 54% @ 1.76
Telstar +1.75 72% 48% @ 2.00
Twente 0 68% 86% 1.11
Telstar +1.5 68% 43% @ 2.19
Twente -0.25 63% 82% 1.16
Telstar +1.25 62% 37% @ 2.54
Twente -0.5 57% 76% 1.23
Twente -0.75 51% 73% 1.29
Telstar +0.75 49% 27% @ 3.53
Twente -1 45% – 1.37
Telstar +0.5 43% 24% @ 3.80
Twente -1.25 38% 63% 1.50
Telstar +0.25 37% 18% @ 5.25
Twente -1.5 32% 57% 1.63
Telstar 0 32% 14% @ 6.60
Twente -1.75 28% 52% 1.83
Twente -2 24% 46% 2.04

📈 How the market moved

5%42%80%09/0409/0509/0609/0709/0809/09

Twente 76%Draw 15%Telstar 9%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Twente vs Telstar?

Our model's main pick is Telstar with a +2 start at odds 1.76, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 54%.

Who is the favourite for Twente vs Telstar?

Our model makes a Twente win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.1 scoreline for Twente vs Telstar.

What is the predicted score for Twente vs Telstar?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.89 for Twente and 1.10 for Telstar. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Twente and Telstar play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 09 September 2026, 16:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.