⚽ Serie A

Udinese vs Lazio Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Udinese vs Lazio in the Serie A. Kick-off Monday 07 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Udinese face Lazio in the Serie A, kicking off Monday 07 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Udinese have 2 wins from their last 5, while Lazio have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Udinese won 2, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Lazio win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.1-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Udinese vs Lazio with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Lazio or Draw @ 1.37

69%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.06 – 1.27 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	12.4%	7.8%	3.3%	1.1%
1	10.3%	13.1%	8.3%	3.5%	1.1%
2	5.5%	6.9%	4.4%	1.9%	0.6%
3	1.9%	2.5%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.5%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Udinese winDrawLazio win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Udinese vs Lazio is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Lazio or Draw at odds 1.37, the selection our model is most confident in at 69%. On the match result, the model rates a Lazio win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean under 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points no (53%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is both teams not to score at odds 1.88 (+0.2% model value).

Best value

BTTS No at odds 1.88, 53% model probability, +0.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Udinese 29%Draw 30%Lazio 41%

29%30%41%

41%

Lazio Win

59%

Under 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS no

+0.2%

Best value: BTTS No

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Udinese and Lazio. Wins shown from Udinese’s perspective: Udinese 2 · 3 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-27	Lazio	3 – 3	Udinese	D
2025-12-27	Udinese	1 – 1	Lazio	D
2025-03-10	Lazio	1 – 1	Udinese	D
2024-08-24	Udinese	2 – 1	Lazio	W
2024-03-11	Lazio	1 – 2	Udinese	W

📈 Recent form

Udinese

Udinese come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Venezia. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WUdinese 2-1 VeneziaCoppa Italia
WMonza 2-3 UdineseSerie A
DUdinese 1-1 ComoSerie A
WUdinese 1-0 PadovaCoppa Italia
WUdinese 1-0 BarcelonaFriendlies Clubs

Lazio

Lazio come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Ostia Mare. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at home to Mantova.

WLazio 1-0 GenoaSerie A
WBologna 0-1 LazioSerie A
LLazio 0-2 MantovaCoppa Italia
WFrosinone 1-2 LazioFriendlies Clubs
WLazio 4-0 Ostia MareFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 11 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Udinese

M. PalmaMuscle Injury
N. ZanioloThigh Injury
G. ChakvetadzeFoot Injury
A. ZanoliKnee Injury

Lazio

D. CataldiGroin Injury
F. Dele-BashiruMuscle Injury
A. FurlanettoKnee Injury
A. MarusicMuscle Injury
PatricAnkle Injury
L. PellegriniInjury
N. RovellaInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Udinese at 29% to win and Lazio at 41%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Lazio win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Lazio Win	41%	@ 2.45	+-0.0%
Draw	30%	@ 3.05	-8.7%
Udinese Win	29%	@ 2.95	-13.6%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lazio or Draw at 1.37 (69% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Lazio or Draw	69%	@ 1.37	-5.7%
Udinese or Draw	57%	@ 1.52	-12.9%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	32%	@ 3.00	-2.8%
Under 2.5	59%	@ 1.65	-3.0%
Under 3.5	79%	@ 1.22	-3.2%
Over 1.5	68%	@ 1.38	-6.7%
Over 2.5	41%	@ 2.23	-8.1%
Over 3.5	21%	@ 4.10	-15.2%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	53%	@ 1.88	+0.2%
BTTS Yes	47%	@ 1.86	-13.1%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Away	44%
Dixon-Coles	Away	39%
GradientBoosting	Away	40%

All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.

Expected goals: 1.18 for the home side, 1.43 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (13%), 1-0 (11%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Udinese vs Lazio?

Our main pick is Lazio or Draw at odds 1.37, with 69% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is both teams not to score at 1.88 (+0.2% value).

Who is the favourite for Udinese vs Lazio?

Our model makes a Lazio win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.3 scoreline for Udinese vs Lazio.

What is the predicted score for Udinese vs Lazio?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.06 for Udinese and 1.27 for Lazio. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Udinese and Lazio play?

Kick-off is Monday 07 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.