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⚽ Jupiler Pro League

Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Sunday 25 October 2026, 18:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Union St. Gilloise face Cercle Brugge in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off Sunday 25 October 2026, 18:15 UTC. Recent form: Union St. Gilloise have 4 wins from their last 5, while Cercle Brugge have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Union St. Gilloise won 2, Cercle Brugge won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely result at 72%, projecting a 2.6-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Union St. Gilloise Win @ 1.30

72%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.57 – 0.86 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.2%	2.8%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%
1	8.3%	7.2%	3.1%	0.9%	0.2%
2	10.7%	9.2%	4.0%	1.1%	0.2%
3	9.2%	7.9%	3.4%	1.0%	0.2%
4	5.9%	5.1%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%

Projected score: 2-0

Union St. Gilloise winDrawCercle Brugge win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is an Union St. Gilloise win at odds 1.30, with a 72% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 72%. Goals lean over 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Union St. Gilloise 72%Draw 16%Cercle Brugge 12%

72%16%12%

72%

Union St. Gilloise Win

67%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Union St. Gilloise and Cercle Brugge. Wins shown from Union St. Gilloise’s perspective: Union St. Gilloise 2 · 1 drawn · Cercle Brugge 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2024-12-08	Cercle Brugge	0 – 0	Union St. Gilloise	D
2024-10-27	Union St. Gilloise	1 – 3	Cercle Brugge	L
2024-05-19	Cercle Brugge	1 – 2	Union St. Gilloise	W
2024-04-07	Union St. Gilloise	2 – 3	Cercle Brugge	L
2023-12-03	Union St. Gilloise	2 – 1	Cercle Brugge	W

📈 Recent form

Union St. Gilloise

Union St. Gilloise come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Nijlen. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WUnion St. Gilloise 3-0 NijlenCup
DUnion St. Gilloise 1-1 Real SociedadUEFA Europa League
DUnion St. Gilloise 1-1 OH LeuvenJupiler Pro League
WAntwerp 0-2 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
WPlzen 0-3 Union St. GilloiseUEFA Europa League

Cercle Brugge

Cercle Brugge come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Sporting Hasselt. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Anderlecht.

WSporting Hasselt 1-2 Cercle BruggeCup
LCercle Brugge 1-2 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
LCharleroi 3-2 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
DOH Leuven 1-1 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
LCercle Brugge 0-3 GentJupiler Pro League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Union St. Gilloise at 72% to win and Cercle Brugge at 12%, with the draw at 16%. Our model makes an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Union St. Gilloise Win	72%	70%	@ 1.30
Draw	16%	18%	@ 5.00
Cercle Brugge Win	12%	11%	@ 8.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Union St. Gilloise or Draw at 1.08 (89% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Union St. Gilloise or Draw	89%	89%	@ 1.08
Cercle Brugge or Draw	29%	30%	@ 3.40

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.6-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	84%	@ 1.12
Over 2.5	67%	65%	@ 1.44
Under 3.5	55%	56%	@ 1.67
Over 3.5	45%	44%	@ 2.10
Under 2.5	33%	35%	@ 2.70
Under 1.5	14%	16%	@ 6.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	52%	53%	@ 1.75
BTTS No	48%	47%	@ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

Union St. Gilloise 72%Draw 17%Cercle Brugge 11%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?

Our model's pick is an Union St. Gilloise win at odds 1.30, with a 72% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?

Our model makes an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely result at 72%. It projects an expected 2.6-0.9 scoreline for Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge.

What is the predicted score for Union St. Gilloise vs Cercle Brugge?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.57 for Union St. Gilloise and 0.86 for Cercle Brugge. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Union St. Gilloise and Cercle Brugge play?

Kick-off is Sunday 25 October 2026, 18:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.