⚽ Jupiler Pro League

Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Union St. Gilloise face Lommel United in the Jupiler Pro League, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Union St. Gilloise have 4 wins from their last 5, while Lommel United have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.1-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.67

85%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.12 – 0.90 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.3%	11.9%	5.4%	1.6%	0.4%
1	14.9%	13.4%	6.0%	1.8%	0.4%
2	8.3%	7.5%	3.4%	1.0%	0.2%
3	3.1%	2.8%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.9%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Union St. Gilloise winDrawLommel United win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.67, the selection our model is most confident in at 85%. On the match result, the model rates an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points no (60%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 2.70 (+81.2% model value).

Best value

Under 2.5 at odds 2.70, 67% model probability, +81.2% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Union St. Gilloise 40%Draw 31%Lommel United 28%

40%31%28%

40%

Union St. Gilloise Win

67%

Under 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS no

+81.2%

Best value: Under 2.5

📈 Recent form

Union St. Gilloise

Union St. Gilloise come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at St. Truiden.

WCharleroi 2-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
WSt. Truiden 0-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
WUnion St. Gilloise 3-0 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
DUnion St. Gilloise 0-0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
DBodo/Glimt 2-2 Union St. GilloiseUEFA Champions League

Lommel United

Lommel United come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to KVC Westerlo. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Club Brugge KV.

LLommel United 0-1 Club Brugge KVJupiler Pro League
WCercle Brugge 0-1 Lommel UnitedJupiler Pro League
WLommel United 4-0 KVC WesterloJupiler Pro League
LLommel United 0-1 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
DSt. Truiden 1-1 Lommel UnitedJupiler Pro League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Union St. Gilloise at 40% to win and Lommel United at 28%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Lommel United Win	28%	@ 10.00	+184.3%
Draw	31%	@ 5.50	+72.8%
Union St. Gilloise Win	40%	@ 1.20	-51.8%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Lommel United or Draw at 4.00 (57% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Lommel United or Draw	57%	@ 4.00	+128.8%
Union St. Gilloise or Draw	69%	@ 1.05	-27.6%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 67% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	40%	@ 6.00	+140.4%
Under 2.5	67%	@ 2.70	+81.2%
Under 3.5	85%	@ 1.67	+42.5%
Over 1.5	60%	@ 1.12	-32.9%
Over 2.5	33%	@ 1.44	-52.7%
Over 3.5	15%	@ 2.10	-69.2%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	60%	@ 1.80	+7.6%
BTTS Yes	40%	@ 1.95	-21.6%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.67, with 85% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 2.70 (+81.2% value).

Who is the favourite for Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United?

Our model makes an Union St. Gilloise win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.1-0.9 scoreline for Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United.

What is the predicted score for Union St. Gilloise vs Lommel United?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.12 for Union St. Gilloise and 0.90 for Lommel United. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Union St. Gilloise and Lommel United play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.