⚽ Bundesliga
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Friday 23 October 2026, 18:30 UTC.
VfB Stuttgart face Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga, kicking off Friday 23 October 2026, 18:30 UTC. Recent form: VfB Stuttgart have 2 wins from their last 5, while Borussia Mönchengladbach have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, VfB Stuttgart won 4, Borussia Mönchengladbach won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a VfB Stuttgart win the most likely result at 68%, projecting a 2.5-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 5.8% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 7.2% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 6.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our model’s pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 73% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a VfB Stuttgart win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 68%. Goals lean over 2.5 (73%), both teams to score points yes (66%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Mönchengladbach. Wins shown from VfB Stuttgart’s perspective: VfB Stuttgart 4 · Borussia Mönchengladbach 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 0 – 3 | VfB Stuttgart | W |
| 2025-08-30 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 – 0 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | W |
| 2025-02-01 | VfB Stuttgart | 1 – 2 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | L |
| 2024-09-14 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1 – 3 | VfB Stuttgart | W |
| 2024-05-18 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 – 0 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | W |
📈 Recent form
VfB Stuttgart come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 2. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Hamburger SV.
- DVfB Stuttgart 1-1 Atlético MadridUEFA Champions League
- LHamburger SV 1-0 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
- WSlovan Bratislava 0-3 VfB StuttgartUEFA Champions League
- WSC Paderborn 07 0-2 VfB StuttgartBundesliga
- WVfB Stuttgart 5-0 SpVgg Greuther FürthFriendlies Clubs
Borussia Mönchengladbach come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 14. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Hoffenheim.
- LBorussia Mönchengladbach 1-2 HoffenheimBundesliga
- L1. FC Köln 2-1 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
- DFC St. Pauli 1-1 Borussia MönchengladbachFriendlies Clubs
- LBorussia Mönchengladbach 3-4 FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga
- LSC Freiburg 5-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- J. DiehlMuscle Injury
- T. TomasMuscle Injury
- J. VagnomanInjury
- D. ZagadouMuscle Injury
- F. FleckMuscle Injury
- T. KleindienstMuscle Injury
- E. LeopoldKnee Injury
- J. LeszczynskiKnee Injury
- F. HonoratMuscle Injury
- K. ItakuraAnkle Injury
- N. KuhnMuscle Injury
- I. LidbergThigh Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices VfB Stuttgart at 68% to win and Borussia Mönchengladbach at 10%, with the draw at 22%. Our model makes a VfB Stuttgart win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart Win | 68% | 68% | @ 1.38 |
| Draw | 22% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach Win | 10% | 13% | @ 7.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is VfB Stuttgart or Draw at 1.10 (88% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart or Draw | 88% | 87% | @ 1.10 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach or Draw | 31% | 32% | @ 3.00 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.5-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 73% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 88% | @ 1.08 |
| Over 2.5 | 73% | 75% | @ 1.28 |
| Over 3.5 | 52% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 | 48% | 45% | @ 2.10 |
| Under 2.5 | 27% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
| Under 1.5 | 11% | 12% | @ 8.00 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 65% | @ 1.44 |
| BTTS No | 34% | 35% | @ 2.62 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our model's pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
Our model makes a VfB Stuttgart win the most likely result at 68%. It projects an expected 2.5-1.3 scoreline for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach.
What is the predicted score for VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Mönchengladbach?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.50 for VfB Stuttgart and 1.27 for Borussia Mönchengladbach. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Mönchengladbach play?
Kick-off is Friday 23 October 2026, 18:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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