⚽ La Liga
Villarreal vs Real Betis Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Villarreal vs Real Betis in the La Liga. Kick-off Monday 14 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: Villarreal 1-2 Real Betis
Villarreal vs Real Betis finished 1-2. Real Betis won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Real Betis Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at 1.33, landed.
Villarreal face Real Betis in the upcoming La Liga tips, kicking off Monday 14 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Villarreal have no wins from their last 4, while Real Betis have 3 wins from their last 4. In their last 5 meetings, Villarreal won 1, Real Betis won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Villarreal win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 2.0-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Villarreal vs Real Betis with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 6.5% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| 3 | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Villarreal vs Real Betis comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Real Betis Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at odds 1.33, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Villarreal win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean over 2.5 (67%), both teams to score points yes (66%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Villarreal and Real Betis. Wins shown from Villarreal’s perspective: Villarreal 1 · 1 drawn · Real Betis 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | Villarreal | 1 – 2 | Real Betis | L |
| 2026-01-17 | Real Betis | 2 – 0 | Villarreal | L |
| 2025-10-18 | Villarreal | 2 – 2 | Real Betis | D |
| 2025-04-13 | Real Betis | 1 – 2 | Villarreal | W |
| 2024-12-15 | Villarreal | 1 – 2 | Real Betis | L |
📈 Recent form
Villarreal come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Levante. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Real Betis.
- WVillarreal 3-1 LevanteLa Liga
- WMálaga 1-3 VillarrealLa Liga
- LVillarreal 1-2 Real BetisLa Liga
- LBorussia Dortmund 3-2 VillarrealUEFA Champions League
- LVillarreal 2-3 Deportivo La CoruñaLa Liga
Real Betis come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Getafe. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- DDeportivo La Coruña 1-1 Real BetisLa Liga
- WReal Betis 1-0 GetafeLa Liga
- WVillarreal 1-2 Real BetisLa Liga
- WLille 2-3 Real BetisUEFA Champions League
- WReal Betis 1-0 Real MadridLa Liga
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- J. FoythAchilles Tendon Injury
- C. RomeroInjury
- A. RuibalKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Villarreal at 50% to win and Real Betis at 30%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes a Villarreal win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal Win | 50% | 51% | @ 1.87 |
| Real Betis Win | 30% | 25% | @ 3.85 |
| Draw | 20% | 25% | @ 3.80 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Villarreal or Draw at 1.25 (72% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal or Draw | 72% | 75% | @ 1.25 |
| Real Betis or Draw | 53% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 67% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 80% | @ 1.18 |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
| Under 3.5 | 55% | 63% | @ 1.48 |
| Over 3.5 | 45% | 37% | @ 2.55 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 42% | @ 2.23 |
| Under 1.5 | 14% | 20% | @ 4.60 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 66%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 60% | @ 1.56 |
| BTTS No | 34% | 40% | @ 2.30 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Villarreal or Real Betis is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal +1.5 | 89% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Villarreal +1.25 | 85% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Real Betis +2 | 84% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Villarreal +1 | 81% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Real Betis +1.75 | 80% | 76% | 1.23 |
| Villarreal +0.75 | 77% | 79% | 1.20 |
| Real Betis +1.5 | 76% | 72% | @ 1.33 |
| Villarreal +0.5 | 72% | 73% | 1.30 |
| Real Betis +1.25 | 71% | 68% | 1.41 |
| Villarreal +0.25 | 66% | 70% | 1.36 |
| Real Betis +1 | 65% | 64% | 1.50 |
| Villarreal 0 | 60% | 65% | 1.47 |
| Real Betis +0.75 | 59% | 56% | @ 1.70 |
| Villarreal -0.25 | 53% | 56% | 1.70 |
| Real Betis +0.5 | 53% | 50% | @ 1.93 |
| Villarreal -0.5 | 47% | 50% | 1.94 |
| Real Betis +0.25 | 47% | 44% | @ 2.19 |
| Villarreal -0.75 | 41% | 44% | 2.19 |
| Real Betis 0 | 40% | 35% | @ 2.75 |
| Villarreal -1 | 35% | 36% | 2.65 |
| Real Betis -0.25 | 34% | 30% | @ 3.17 |
| Villarreal -1.25 | 29% | 32% | 2.96 |
| Real Betis -0.5 | 28% | 27% | 3.57 |
| Villarreal -1.5 | 24% | 28% | 3.37 |
| Real Betis -0.75 | 23% | 21% | @ 4.40 |
| Villarreal -1.75 | 20% | 24% | 4.00 |
| Real Betis -1 | 19% | 15% | @ 6.40 |
| Villarreal -2 | 16% | 17% | 5.75 |
| Real Betis -1.25 | 15% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Real Betis -1.5 | 11% | 14% | 6.80 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Villarreal vs Real Betis?
Our model's main pick is Real Betis Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at odds 1.33, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for Villarreal vs Real Betis?
Our model makes a Villarreal win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.4 scoreline for Villarreal vs Real Betis.
What is the predicted score for Villarreal vs Real Betis?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 2.00 for Villarreal and 1.43 for Real Betis. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Villarreal and Real Betis play?
Kick-off is Monday 14 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Sassuolovs
LazioSerie ASassuolo Asian Handicap +1.25@ 1.30Tue 27 Oct17:30
AS Romavs
CagliariSerie AAS Roma Asian Handicap -0.5@ 1.32Tue 27 Oct19:45
Torinovs
ComoSerie ATorino Asian Handicap +1.75@ 1.33Tue 27 Oct19:45
Beneventovs
CatanzaroSerie BTue 27 Oct18:00
Ascolivs
SampdoriaSerie BTue 27 Oct19:00
Cesenavs
EmpoliSerie BTue 27 Oct19:00Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.