⚽ Bundesliga
Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.
Result: Werder Bremen 3-1 RB Leipzig
Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig finished 3-1. Werder Bremen won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Werder Bremen face RB Leipzig in the upcoming Bundesliga tips, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: Werder Bremen have no wins from their last 5, while RB Leipzig have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Werder Bremen won 1, RB Leipzig won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a RB Leipzig win the most likely result at 53%, projecting a 1.3-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| 1 | 5.5% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 2.8% |
| 2 | 3.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| 3 | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is RB Leipzig to win or draw at odds 1.26, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a RB Leipzig win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 53%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (61%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig. Wins shown from Werder Bremen’s perspective: Werder Bremen 1 · 1 drawn · RB Leipzig 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Werder Bremen | 3 – 1 | RB Leipzig | W |
| 2026-04-04 | Werder Bremen | 1 – 2 | RB Leipzig | L |
| 2025-11-23 | RB Leipzig | 2 – 0 | Werder Bremen | L |
| 2025-05-10 | Werder Bremen | 0 – 0 | RB Leipzig | D |
| 2025-01-12 | RB Leipzig | 4 – 2 | Werder Bremen | L |
📈 Recent form
Werder Bremen come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 8. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Lüneburger SK Hansa. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-4 at SC Freiburg.
- WWerder Bremen 3-2 FC AugsburgBundesliga
- D1. FC Köln 1-1 Werder BremenBundesliga
- WWerder Bremen 3-1 RB LeipzigBundesliga
- LSC Freiburg 4-1 Werder BremenBundesliga
- WLüneburger SK Hansa 0-3 Werder BremenDFB Pokal
RB Leipzig come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Hamburger SV. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Bayer Leverkusen.
- LBayer Leverkusen 2-0 RB LeipzigBundesliga
- WRB Leipzig 5-0 Hamburger SVBundesliga
- LComo 4-1 RB LeipzigUEFA Champions League
- LWerder Bremen 3-1 RB LeipzigBundesliga
- WRB Leipzig 3-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- F. AguCalf Injury
- J. NjinmahThigh Injury
- J. StageMuscle Injury
- K. ToppKnee Injury
- M. WeiserKnee Injury
- C. BaumgartnerThigh Injury
- V. GebelKnee Injury
- B. GrudaAnkle Injury
- R. ReitzMuscle Injury
- Romulo CardosoKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Werder Bremen at 23% to win and RB Leipzig at 53%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a RB Leipzig win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig Win | 53% | 54% | @ 1.73 |
| Draw | 24% | 23% | @ 4.00 |
| Werder Bremen Win | 23% | 23% | @ 4.00 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is RB Leipzig or Draw at 1.22 (77% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig or Draw | 77% | 77% | @ 1.22 |
| Werder Bremen or Draw | 47% | 46% | @ 2.05 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 84% | @ 1.13 |
| Under 3.5 | 62% | 57% | @ 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 64% | @ 1.47 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 36% | @ 2.65 |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 43% | @ 2.18 |
| Under 1.5 | 18% | 16% | @ 5.75 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 63% | @ 1.47 |
| BTTS No | 39% | 37% | @ 2.55 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Werder Bremen or RB Leipzig is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig +1.5 | 92% | 85% | @ 1.12 |
| RB Leipzig +1.25 | 88% | 86% | 1.10 |
| RB Leipzig +1 | 84% | 86% | 1.10 |
| RB Leipzig +0.75 | 81% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Werder Bremen +2 | 80% | 79% | 1.20 |
| RB Leipzig +0.5 | 77% | 76% | 1.26 |
| Werder Bremen +1.75 | 76% | 72% | @ 1.32 |
| Werder Bremen +1.5 | 72% | 66% | @ 1.44 |
| RB Leipzig +0.25 | 71% | 74% | 1.28 |
| Werder Bremen +1.25 | 66% | 62% | @ 1.53 |
| RB Leipzig 0 | 65% | 71% | 1.34 |
| Werder Bremen +1 | 60% | 57% | 1.67 |
| RB Leipzig -0.25 | 59% | 62% | 1.54 |
| Werder Bremen +0.75 | 53% | 50% | @ 1.93 |
| RB Leipzig -0.5 | 53% | 55% | 1.73 |
| Werder Bremen +0.5 | 47% | 45% | @ 2.13 |
| RB Leipzig -0.75 | 47% | 50% | 1.94 |
| Werder Bremen +0.25 | 41% | 38% | @ 2.49 |
| RB Leipzig -1 | 40% | 43% | 2.24 |
| Werder Bremen 0 | 35% | 29% | @ 3.31 |
| RB Leipzig -1.25 | 34% | 38% | 2.50 |
| Werder Bremen -0.25 | 29% | 26% | @ 3.65 |
| RB Leipzig -1.5 | 28% | 34% | 2.82 |
| RB Leipzig -1.75 | 24% | 28% | 3.41 |
| Werder Bremen -0.5 | 23% | 24% | 3.95 |
| RB Leipzig -2 | 20% | 21% | 4.40 |
| Werder Bremen -0.75 | 19% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Werder Bremen -1 | 16% | 14% | @ 7.00 |
| Werder Bremen -1.25 | 12% | 14% | 7.00 |
| Werder Bremen -1.5 | 8% | 15% | 6.40 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
Our model's main pick is RB Leipzig to win or draw at odds 1.26, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
Our model makes a RB Leipzig win the most likely result at 53%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.9 scoreline for Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig.
What is the predicted score for Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.28 for Werder Bremen and 1.86 for RB Leipzig. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig play?
Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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