⚽ Bundesliga

Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Werder Bremen face RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 13:30 UTC. Recent form: Werder Bremen have 0 wins from their last 5, while RB Leipzig have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, RB Leipzig won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a RB Leipzig win the most likely result at 53%, projecting a 1.3-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.67

62%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.28 – 1.86 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.3%	8.1%	7.5%	4.6%	2.2%
1	5.5%	10.3%	9.6%	5.9%	2.8%
2	3.5%	6.6%	6.1%	3.8%	1.8%
3	1.5%	2.8%	2.6%	1.6%	0.8%
4	0.5%	0.9%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Werder Bremen winDrawRB Leipzig win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.67, the selection our model is most confident in at 62%. On the match result, the model rates a RB Leipzig win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 53%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

Best value

Under 3.5 at odds 1.67, 62% model probability, +2.9% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Werder Bremen 23%Draw 24%RB Leipzig 53%

23%24%53%

53%

RB Leipzig Win

61%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

+2.9%

Best value: Under 3.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig. Wins shown from Werder Bremen’s perspective: 2 drawn · RB Leipzig 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-04	Werder Bremen	1 – 2	RB Leipzig	L
2025-11-23	RB Leipzig	2 – 0	Werder Bremen	L
2025-05-10	Werder Bremen	0 – 0	RB Leipzig	D
2025-01-12	RB Leipzig	4 – 2	Werder Bremen	L
2024-05-11	RB Leipzig	1 – 1	Werder Bremen	D

📈 Recent form

Werder Bremen

Werder Bremen come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Lüneburger SK Hansa. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at SC Freiburg.

LSC Freiburg 4-1 Werder BremenBundesliga
WLüneburger SK Hansa 0-3 Werder BremenDFB Pokal
LWerder Bremen 0-1 AuxerreFriendlies Clubs
DWerder Bremen 2-2 SC Paderborn 07Friendlies Clubs
WEnergie Cottbus 2-4 Werder BremenFriendlies Clubs

RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at Eintracht Trier. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Bayern München.

WRB Leipzig 3-0 Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
WEintracht Trier 0-6 RB LeipzigDFB Pokal
LBayern München 3-1 RB LeipzigFriendlies Clubs
LLeeds 2-0 RB LeipzigFriendlies Clubs
WRB Leipzig 4-0 VerlFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Werder Bremen

F. AguCalf Injury
J. NjinmahThigh Injury
J. StageMuscle Injury
K. ToppKnee Injury
M. WeiserKnee Injury

RB Leipzig

C. BaumgartnerThigh Injury
R. ReitzMuscle Injury
Romulo CardosoKnee Injury
V. GebelKnee Injury
B. GrudaAnkle Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Werder Bremen at 23% to win and RB Leipzig at 53%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a RB Leipzig win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	24%	@ 4.00	-3.0%
Werder Bremen Win	23%	@ 4.00	-8.0%
RB Leipzig Win	53%	@ 1.73	-8.8%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Werder Bremen or Draw at 2.05 (47% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Werder Bremen or Draw	47%	@ 2.05	-3.0%
RB Leipzig or Draw	77%	@ 1.22	-6.0%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 2.5	39%	@ 2.65	+4.0%
Under 1.5	18%	@ 5.75	+3.0%
Under 3.5	62%	@ 1.67	+2.9%
Over 1.5	82%	@ 1.13	-7.3%
Over 2.5	61%	@ 1.47	-10.7%
Over 3.5	38%	@ 2.18	-16.3%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	39%	@ 2.55	+0.1%
BTTS Yes	61%	@ 1.47	-10.7%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Away	46%
Dixon-Coles	Away	56%
GradientBoosting	Away	54%

All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.

Expected goals: 1.01 for the home side, 1.66 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.67, with 62% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?

Our model makes a RB Leipzig win the most likely result at 53%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.9 scoreline for Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig.

What is the predicted score for Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.28 for Werder Bremen and 1.86 for RB Leipzig. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 13:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.