Sun 13 Sep0-1Finished

⚽ Jupiler Pro League

Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi in the Jupiler Pro League. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Result: Zulte Waregem 0-1 Charleroi

Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi finished 0-1. Charleroi won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Zulte Waregem Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at 1.35, was a half-loss.

Zulte Waregem face Charleroi in the upcoming Jupiler Pro League tips, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: Zulte Waregem have 3 wins from their last 5, while Charleroi have 4 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Zulte Waregem win the most likely result at 58%, projecting a 1.8-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Zulte Waregem Asian Handicap +0.75 @ 1.35
84%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.82 – 0.92 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 6.5% 5.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.8% 10.8% 5.0% 1.5% 0.4%
2 10.7% 9.8% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3%
3 6.5% 6.0% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
4 3.0% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-0
Zulte Waregem winDrawCharleroi win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Zulte Waregem Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at odds 1.35, with a 84% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Zulte Waregem win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 58%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points no (50%).

📊 Key numbers

Zulte Waregem 58%Draw 23%Charleroi 19%
58%23%19%
58%
Zulte Waregem Win
52%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Zulte Waregem

Zulte Waregem come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to SK Beveren. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Anderlecht.

  • LAnderlecht 3-0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
  • LZulte Waregem 0-1 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
  • WKortrijk 0-2 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
  • DKVC Westerlo 2-2 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
  • WZulte Waregem 4-0 SK BeverenJupiler Pro League
Charleroi

Charleroi come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Kortrijk. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at home to Union St. Gilloise.

  • WCharleroi 3-2 Cercle BruggeJupiler Pro League
  • WZulte Waregem 0-1 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
  • LCharleroi 2-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
  • WKortrijk 1-3 CharleroiJupiler Pro League
  • WCharleroi 2-0 KV MechelenJupiler Pro League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Zulte Waregem at 58% to win and Charleroi at 19%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Zulte Waregem win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Zulte Waregem Win 58% 35% @ 2.70
Draw 23% 29% @ 3.25
Charleroi Win 19% 37% @ 2.55

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Zulte Waregem or Draw at 1.48 (81% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Zulte Waregem or Draw 81% 63% @ 1.48
Charleroi or Draw 42% 65% @ 1.45

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 76% 78% @ 1.20
Under 3.5 70% 65% @ 1.45
Over 2.5 52% 56% @ 1.68
Under 2.5 48% 44% @ 2.10
Over 3.5 30% 35% @ 2.65
Under 1.5 24% 22% @ 4.35

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 50%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 50% 39% @ 2.35
BTTS Yes 50% 61% @ 1.50

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Zulte Waregem or Charleroi is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Zulte Waregem +1.75 95% 86% @ 1.10
Zulte Waregem +1.5 94% 82% @ 1.16
Zulte Waregem +1.25 90% 79% @ 1.19
Zulte Waregem +1 87% 78% @ 1.22
Zulte Waregem +0.75 84% 70% @ 1.35
Zulte Waregem +0.5 81% 64% @ 1.50
Zulte Waregem +0.25 75% 58% @ 1.64
Charleroi +1.75 71% 85% 1.12
Zulte Waregem 0 69% 51% @ 1.88
Charleroi +1.5 67% 80% 1.18
Zulte Waregem -0.25 64% 43% @ 2.21
Charleroi +1.25 61% 79% 1.20
Zulte Waregem -0.5 58% 38% @ 2.51
Charleroi +1 55% 77% 1.24
Zulte Waregem -0.75 52% 31% @ 3.08
Charleroi +0.75 48% 69% 1.38
Zulte Waregem -1 45% 23% @ 4.09
Charleroi +0.5 42% 62% 1.52
Zulte Waregem -1.25 39% 21% @ 4.40
Charleroi +0.25 36% 57% 1.69
Zulte Waregem -1.5 33% 20% @ 4.80
Charleroi 0 31% 49% 1.97
Zulte Waregem -1.75 29% 15% @ 6.40
Charleroi -0.25 25% 42% 2.29
Charleroi -0.5 19% 36% 2.65
Charleroi -0.75 16% 30% 3.19
Charleroi -1 13% 22% 4.33
Charleroi -1.25 10% 21% 4.50
Charleroi -1.5 6% 18% 5.25
Charleroi -1.75 5% 14% 6.80

📈 How the market moved

23%33%42%09/0809/0909/1009/1109/1209/13

Zulte Waregem 37%Draw 27%Charleroi 36%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi?

Our model's main pick is Zulte Waregem Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at odds 1.35, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi?

Our model makes a Zulte Waregem win the most likely result at 58%. It projects an expected 1.8-0.9 scoreline for Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi.

What is the predicted score for Zulte Waregem vs Charleroi?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.82 for Zulte Waregem and 0.92 for Charleroi. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Zulte Waregem and Charleroi play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.