⚽ Major League Soccer
Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: Philadelphia Union 2-2 Inter Miami
Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Philadelphia Union face Inter Miami in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, Philadelphia Union won 1, Inter Miami won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Inter Miami win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 1.9-2.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 3.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% |
| 2 | 3.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
| 3 | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
| 4 | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Inter Miami with a +1.25 start at odds 1.25, with a 84% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Inter Miami win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean over 2.5 (77%), both teams to score points yes (72%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami. Wins shown from Philadelphia Union’s perspective: Philadelphia Union 1 · 1 drawn · Inter Miami 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-19 | Philadelphia Union | 2 – 2 | Inter Miami | D |
| 2026-05-24 | Inter Miami | 6 – 4 | Philadelphia Union | L |
| 2024-09-14 | Inter Miami | 3 – 1 | Philadelphia Union | L |
| 2024-06-15 | Philadelphia Union | 1 – 2 | Inter Miami | L |
| 2023-06-24 | Philadelphia Union | 4 – 1 | Inter Miami | W |
📈 Recent form
Philadelphia Union come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 19 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at San Diego. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WSporting Kansas City 3-4 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- WSan Diego 0-5 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
- WPhiladelphia Union 5-0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
- WPhiladelphia Union 2-0 CF MontrealMajor League Soccer
- WNew York Red Bulls 1-3 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer
Inter Miami come into this game with 1 win and 4 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Cruz Azul. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- DInter Miami 2-2 San DiegoMajor League Soccer
- WInter Miami 2-0 Cruz AzulCampeones Cup
- DInter Miami 2-2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
- DChicago Fire 1-1 Inter MiamiMajor League Soccer
- DInter Miami 2-2 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- J. LukicSuspended (cards)
- G. MartinezInjury
- P. NdingaHamstring Injury
- T. AllendeKnee Injury
- G. BerterameConcussion
- MicaelInjury
- S. MoralesMuscle Injury
- M. SilvettiShoulder Injury
- R. de PaulSuspended
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Philadelphia Union at 32% to win and Inter Miami at 47%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes an Inter Miami win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami Win | 47% | 37% | @ 2.55 |
| Philadelphia Union Win | 32% | 39% | @ 2.43 |
| Draw | 21% | 25% | @ 3.80 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Inter Miami or Draw at 1.53 (70% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami or Draw | 70% | 61% | @ 1.53 |
| Philadelphia Union or Draw | 56% | 63% | @ 1.49 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-2.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 77% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 85% | @ 1.11 |
| Over 2.5 | 77% | 68% | @ 1.38 |
| Over 3.5 | 58% | 47% | @ 1.98 |
| Under 3.5 | 42% | 53% | @ 1.78 |
| Under 2.5 | 23% | 32% | @ 2.90 |
| Under 1.5 | 9% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 72%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 72% | 69% | @ 1.35 |
| BTTS No | 28% | 31% | @ 2.95 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Philadelphia Union or Inter Miami is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Miami +1.75 | 90% | 83% | @ 1.14 |
| Inter Miami +1.5 | 88% | 78% | @ 1.20 |
| Inter Miami +1.25 | 84% | 76% | @ 1.25 |
| Philadelphia Union +1.75 | 82% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Inter Miami +1 | 79% | 74% | @ 1.29 |
| Philadelphia Union +1.5 | 78% | 79% | 1.18 |
| Inter Miami +0.75 | 75% | 66% | @ 1.44 |
| Philadelphia Union +1.25 | 73% | 77% | 1.22 |
| Inter Miami +0.5 | 70% | 60% | @ 1.56 |
| Philadelphia Union +1 | 67% | 75% | 1.26 |
| Inter Miami +0.25 | 64% | 55% | @ 1.75 |
| Philadelphia Union +0.75 | 61% | 68% | 1.40 |
| Inter Miami 0 | 57% | 49% | @ 1.95 |
| Philadelphia Union +0.5 | 56% | 62% | 1.52 |
| Inter Miami -0.25 | 51% | 43% | @ 2.23 |
| Philadelphia Union +0.25 | 49% | 57% | 1.67 |
| Inter Miami -0.5 | 44% | 38% | @ 2.46 |
| Philadelphia Union 0 | 43% | 51% | 1.87 |
| Inter Miami -0.75 | 39% | 32% | @ 3.02 |
| Philadelphia Union -0.25 | 36% | 45% | 2.17 |
| Inter Miami -1 | 33% | 25% | @ 3.88 |
| Philadelphia Union -0.5 | 30% | 40% | 2.37 |
| Inter Miami -1.25 | 27% | 23% | @ 4.15 |
| Philadelphia Union -0.75 | 25% | 34% | 2.80 |
| Inter Miami -1.5 | 22% | 21% | 4.38 |
| Philadelphia Union -1 | 21% | 26% | 3.58 |
| Inter Miami -1.75 | 18% | 16% | @ 5.90 |
| Philadelphia Union -1.25 | 16% | 24% | 3.87 |
| Philadelphia Union -1.5 | 12% | 22% | 4.17 |
| Philadelphia Union -1.75 | 10% | 17% | 5.75 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami?
Our model's main pick is Inter Miami with a +1.25 start at odds 1.25, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami?
Our model makes an Inter Miami win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.9-2.2 scoreline for Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami.
What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs Inter Miami?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.89 for Philadelphia Union and 2.17 for Inter Miami. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Philadelphia Union and Inter Miami play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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