Wed 19 Aug2-1Finished

⚽ Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: FC Cincinnati 2-1 New York City FC

FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC finished 2-1. FC Cincinnati won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

FC Cincinnati face New York City FC in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, FC Cincinnati won 2, New York City FC won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Cincinnati win the most likely result at 55%, projecting a 2.0-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

FC Cincinnati or Draw @ 1.30

79%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.97 – 1.56 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.9%	4.6%	3.6%	1.9%	0.7%
1	5.8%	9.0%	7.0%	3.7%	1.4%
2	5.7%	8.9%	6.9%	3.6%	1.4%
3	3.7%	5.8%	4.5%	2.4%	0.9%
4	1.8%	2.9%	2.2%	1.2%	0.5%

Projected score: 1-1

FC Cincinnati winDrawNew York City FC win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is FC Cincinnati or Draw at odds 1.30, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a FC Cincinnati win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 55%. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (64%).

📊 Key numbers

FC Cincinnati 55%Draw 23%New York City FC 22%

55%23%22%

55%

FC Cincinnati Win

68%

Over 2.5 goals

64%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between FC Cincinnati and New York City FC. Wins shown from FC Cincinnati’s perspective: FC Cincinnati 2 · 1 drawn · New York City FC 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-19	FC Cincinnati	2 – 1	New York City FC	W
2026-04-22	New York City FC	4 – 4	FC Cincinnati	D
2024-11-02	New York City FC	3 – 1	FC Cincinnati	L
2024-10-28	FC Cincinnati	1 – 0	New York City FC	W
2024-10-02	New York City FC	3 – 2	FC Cincinnati	L

📈 Recent form

FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 15. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Philadelphia Union.

DHouston Dynamo 2-2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
DFC Cincinnati 3-3 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
LPhiladelphia Union 5-0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
LNashville SC 4-0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
DFC Cincinnati 1-1 Seattle SoundersMajor League Soccer

New York City FC

New York City FC come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Real Salt Lake. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to New York Red Bulls.

LNew York City FC 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
WReal Salt Lake 0-2 New York City FCMajor League Soccer
LNew York City FC 1-2 New England RevolutionMajor League Soccer
DNew York City FC 0-0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
DToronto FC 1-1 New York City FCMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

FC Cincinnati

No absentees reported.

New York City FC

D. BaieraKnee Injury
A. FarnosInjury
A. MartinezKnee Injury
M. MoralezKnee Injury
A. O'NeillAnkle Injury
Thiago MartinsLeg Injury
K. TrewinAnkle Injury
H. WolfLeg Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices FC Cincinnati at 55% to win and New York City FC at 22%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a FC Cincinnati win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Cincinnati Win	55%	48%	@ 1.93
Draw	23%	23%	@ 4.00
New York City FC Win	22%	28%	@ 3.30

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Cincinnati or Draw at 1.30 (79% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Cincinnati or Draw	79%	72%	@ 1.30
New York City FC or Draw	45%	52%	@ 1.83

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	87%	84%	@ 1.11
Over 2.5	68%	66%	@ 1.42
Under 3.5	53%	55%	@ 1.72
Over 3.5	47%	45%	@ 2.07
Under 2.5	32%	34%	@ 2.80
Under 1.5	13%	16%	@ 6.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	64%	66%	@ 1.41
BTTS No	36%	34%	@ 2.70

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when FC Cincinnati or New York City FC is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
FC Cincinnati +1.5	92%	–	@ 1.09
FC Cincinnati +1.25	89%	86%	1.11
FC Cincinnati +1	86%	85%	1.12
FC Cincinnati +0.75	82%	78%	1.21
FC Cincinnati +0.5	79%	–	@ 1.31
New York City FC +2	78%	83%	1.15
New York City FC +1.75	74%	75%	1.25
FC Cincinnati +0.25	73%	69%	1.38
New York City FC +1.5	70%	71%	1.33
FC Cincinnati 0	67%	64%	1.47
New York City FC +1.25	64%	68%	1.40
FC Cincinnati -0.25	61%	56%	@ 1.71
New York City FC +1	58%	63%	1.50
FC Cincinnati -0.5	55%	49%	@ 1.91
New York City FC +0.75	51%	56%	1.70
FC Cincinnati -0.75	49%	44%	@ 2.17
New York City FC +0.5	45%	51%	1.86
FC Cincinnati -1	42%	37%	@ 2.60
New York City FC +0.25	39%	44%	2.17
FC Cincinnati -1.25	36%	32%	@ 2.94
New York City FC 0	33%	36%	2.66
FC Cincinnati -1.5	30%	29%	3.18
New York City FC -0.25	27%	31%	3.10
FC Cincinnati -1.75	26%	25%	3.80
FC Cincinnati -2	22%	17%	@ 5.50
New York City FC -0.75	18%	22%	4.25
New York City FC -1	14%	15%	6.25
New York City FC -1.25	11%	14%	6.60

📈 How the market moved

FC Cincinnati 49%Draw 24%New York City FC 27%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?

Our model's main pick is FC Cincinnati or Draw at odds 1.30, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?

Our model makes a FC Cincinnati win the most likely result at 55%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.6 scoreline for FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC.

What is the predicted score for FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.97 for FC Cincinnati and 1.56 for New York City FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do FC Cincinnati and New York City FC play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.