vs
⚽ Major League Soccer
FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
FC Cincinnati face New York City FC in the Major League Soccer, kicking off Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, FC Cincinnati won 2, New York City FC won 2, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a FC Cincinnati win the most likely result at 55%, projecting a 2.0-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 5.8% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| 2 | 5.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| 3 | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| 4 | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is FC Cincinnati or Draw at odds 1.40, the selection our model is most confident in at 79%. On the match result, the model rates a FC Cincinnati win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 55%. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (64%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is a FC Cincinnati win at odds 2.12 (+17.0% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between FC Cincinnati and New York City FC. Wins shown from FC Cincinnati’s perspective: FC Cincinnati 2 · 1 drawn · New York City FC 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | New York City FC | 4 – 4 | FC Cincinnati | D |
| 2024-11-02 | New York City FC | 3 – 1 | FC Cincinnati | L |
| 2024-10-28 | FC Cincinnati | 1 – 0 | New York City FC | W |
| 2024-10-02 | New York City FC | 3 – 2 | FC Cincinnati | L |
| 2024-03-23 | FC Cincinnati | 1 – 0 | New York City FC | W |
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices FC Cincinnati at 55% to win and New York City FC at 22%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a FC Cincinnati win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati Win | 55% | @ 2.12 | +17.0% |
| Draw | 23% | @ 3.95 | -9.1% |
| New York City FC Win | 22% | @ 2.90 | -36.8% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is FC Cincinnati or Draw at 1.40 (79% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Cincinnati or Draw | 79% | @ 1.40 | +10.0% |
| New York City FC or Draw | 45% | @ 1.70 | -23.1% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 47% | @ 2.10 | -1.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | @ 1.44 | -1.4% |
| Over 1.5 | 87% | @ 1.12 | -2.9% |
| Under 3.5 | 53% | @ 1.70 | -9.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 32% | @ 2.75 | -13.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 13% | @ 5.75 | -23.6% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 36% | @ 2.75 | -2.4% |
| BTTS Yes | 64% | @ 1.40 | -9.7% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
Our main pick is FC Cincinnati or Draw at odds 1.40, with 79% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is a FC Cincinnati win at 2.12 (+17.0% value).
Who is the favourite for FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
Our model makes a FC Cincinnati win the most likely result at 55%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.6 scoreline for FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC.
What is the predicted score for FC Cincinnati vs New York City FC?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.97 for FC Cincinnati and 1.56 for New York City FC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do FC Cincinnati and New York City FC play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.