Wed 19 Aug0-1Finished

⚽ Major League Soccer

New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: New York Red Bulls 0-1 Nashville SC

New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC finished 0-1. Nashville SC won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

New York Red Bulls face Nashville SC in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, New York Red Bulls won 1, Nashville SC won 1, 3 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a New York Red Bulls win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.4-1.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

New York Red Bulls +1.25 @ 1.28

80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.40 – 1.52 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.4%	8.2%	6.2%	3.2%	1.2%
1	7.6%	11.5%	8.7%	4.4%	1.7%
2	5.3%	8.0%	6.1%	3.1%	1.2%
3	2.5%	3.7%	2.8%	1.4%	0.5%
4	0.9%	1.3%	1.0%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

New York Red Bulls winDrawNashville SC win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is New York Red Bulls with a +1.25 start at odds 1.28, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a New York Red Bulls win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (57%).

📊 Key numbers

New York Red Bulls 39%Draw 25%Nashville SC 36%

39%25%36%

39%

New York Red Bulls Win

56%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between New York Red Bulls and Nashville SC. Wins shown from New York Red Bulls’s perspective: New York Red Bulls 1 · 3 drawn · Nashville SC 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-19	New York Red Bulls	0 – 1	Nashville SC	L
2024-06-15	New York Red Bulls	0 – 0	Nashville SC	D
2024-02-24	Nashville SC	0 – 0	New York Red Bulls	D
2023-10-22	Nashville SC	0 – 1	New York Red Bulls	W
2023-03-05	New York Red Bulls	0 – 0	Nashville SC	D

📈 Recent form

New York Red Bulls

New York Red Bulls come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at New York City FC. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Los Angeles FC.

WNew York City FC 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
WColumbus Crew 0-1 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
LLos Angeles FC 2-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
DSeattle Sounders 0-0 New York Red BullsMajor League Soccer
LNew York Red Bulls 1-3 Philadelphia UnionMajor League Soccer

Nashville SC

Nashville SC come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to FC Cincinnati. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Toronto FC.

WNashville SC 3-0 Chicago FireMajor League Soccer
DInter Miami 2-2 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
LToronto FC 2-1 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
DNew York City FC 0-0 Nashville SCMajor League Soccer
WNashville SC 4-0 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

New York Red Bulls

A. MarcucciKnee Injury
R. MosqueraThigh Injury

Nashville SC

W. MadrigalLower-Body Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices New York Red Bulls at 39% to win and Nashville SC at 36%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a New York Red Bulls win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
New York Red Bulls Win	39%	33%	@ 2.80
Nashville SC Win	36%	41%	@ 2.28
Draw	25%	26%	@ 3.65

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is New York Red Bulls or Draw at 1.60 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
New York Red Bulls or Draw	65%	59%	@ 1.60
Nashville SC or Draw	61%	67%	@ 1.42

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	79%	82%	@ 1.14
Under 3.5	66%	59%	@ 1.58
Over 2.5	56%	62%	@ 1.50
Under 2.5	44%	38%	@ 2.50
Over 3.5	34%	41%	@ 2.28
Under 1.5	21%	18%	@ 5.30

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	57%	64%	@ 1.44
BTTS No	43%	36%	@ 2.60

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when New York Red Bulls or Nashville SC is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
New York Red Bulls +1.75	87%	82%	@ 1.16
Nashville SC +1.75	85%	86%	1.10
New York Red Bulls +1.5	85%	76%	@ 1.22
Nashville SC +1.5	82%	–	1.14
New York Red Bulls +1.25	80%	74%	@ 1.28
Nashville SC +1.25	77%	83%	1.15
New York Red Bulls +1	75%	71%	1.33
Nashville SC +1	72%	–	1.20
New York Red Bulls +0.75	70%	63%	@ 1.51
Nashville SC +0.75	67%	74%	1.29
New York Red Bulls +0.5	65%	57%	@ 1.64
Nashville SC +0.5	61%	67%	1.41
New York Red Bulls +0.25	58%	51%	@ 1.88
Nashville SC +0.25	55%	63%	1.51
New York Red Bulls 0	52%	44%	@ 2.18
Nashville SC 0	48%	56%	1.68
New York Red Bulls -0.25	45%	37%	@ 2.56
Nashville SC -0.25	42%	49%	1.97
New York Red Bulls -0.5	39%	33%	@ 2.81
Nashville SC -0.5	35%	43%	2.19
New York Red Bulls -0.75	33%	26%	@ 3.59
Nashville SC -0.75	30%	37%	2.58
Nashville SC -1	25%	29%	3.33
New York Red Bulls -1.25	23%	17%	@ 5.50
Nashville SC -1.25	20%	26%	3.67
Nashville SC -1.5	15%	24%	3.85
New York Red Bulls -1.75	15%	14%	@ 7.00
Nashville SC -1.75	13%	18%	5.25

📈 How the market moved

New York Red Bulls 33%Draw 25%Nashville SC 42%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?

Our model's main pick is New York Red Bulls with a +1.25 start at odds 1.28, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?

Our model makes a New York Red Bulls win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.5 scoreline for New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC.

What is the predicted score for New York Red Bulls vs Nashville SC?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.40 for New York Red Bulls and 1.52 for Nashville SC. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do New York Red Bulls and Nashville SC play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 19 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.