Sun 23 Aug2-1Finished

⚽ Major League Soccer

St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 00:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: St. Louis City 2-1 Houston Dynamo

St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo finished 2-1. St. Louis City won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

St. Louis City face Houston Dynamo in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 00:30 UTC. In their last 5 meetings, St. Louis City won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.4-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Houston Dynamo +1.5 @ 1.26

85%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.37 – 1.32 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.8%	9.0%	5.9%	2.6%	0.9%
1	9.3%	12.3%	8.1%	3.6%	1.2%
2	6.4%	8.4%	5.5%	2.4%	0.8%
3	2.9%	3.8%	2.5%	1.1%	0.4%
4	1.0%	1.3%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

St. Louis City winDrawHouston Dynamo win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Houston Dynamo with a +1.5 start at odds 1.26, with a 85% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Houston Dynamo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points yes (53%).

📊 Key numbers

St. Louis City 34%Draw 28%Houston Dynamo 38%

34%28%38%

38%

Houston Dynamo Win

50%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between St. Louis City and Houston Dynamo. Wins shown from St. Louis City’s perspective: St. Louis City 3 · 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-23	St. Louis City	2 – 1	Houston Dynamo	W
2024-10-06	St. Louis City	3 – 0	Houston Dynamo	W
2024-05-05	Houston Dynamo	0 – 0	St. Louis City	D
2023-09-17	Houston Dynamo	1 – 1	St. Louis City	D
2023-06-04	St. Louis City	3 – 0	Houston Dynamo	W

📈 Recent form

St. Louis City

St. Louis City come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 15 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Colorado Rapids. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WSt. Louis City 3-1 Toronto FCMajor League Soccer
WColorado Rapids 0-3 St. Louis CityUS Open Cup
WSt. Louis City 4-2 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
DPortland Timbers 2-2 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer
WVancouver Whitecaps 1-3 St. Louis CityMajor League Soccer

Houston Dynamo

Houston Dynamo come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Real Salt Lake. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at San Jose Earthquakes.

DHouston Dynamo 2-2 FC CincinnatiMajor League Soccer
LSan Jose Earthquakes 1-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
WHouston Dynamo 2-1 Real Salt LakeMajor League Soccer
DCharlotte 0-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
DHouston Dynamo 0-0 San Jose EarthquakesMajor League Soccer

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

St. Louis City

Celio PompeuKnee Injury
C. DurkinSuspended (cards)
K. HiebertHip Injury
B. McSorleyAnkle Injury

Houston Dynamo

J. MaurerConcussion

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices St. Louis City at 34% to win and Houston Dynamo at 38%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Houston Dynamo Win	38%	28%	@ 3.30
St. Louis City Win	34%	45%	@ 2.07
Draw	28%	27%	@ 3.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Houston Dynamo or Draw at 1.72 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Houston Dynamo or Draw	65%	55%	@ 1.72
St. Louis City or Draw	61%	72%	@ 1.30

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	76%	@ 1.23
Under 3.5	72%	68%	@ 1.38
Over 2.5	50%	53%	@ 1.76
Under 2.5	50%	47%	@ 2.00
Over 3.5	28%	32%	@ 2.95
Under 1.5	25%	24%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	58%	@ 1.61
BTTS No	47%	42%	@ 2.18

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when St. Louis City or Houston Dynamo is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Houston Dynamo +2	90%	86%	1.10
Houston Dynamo +1.75	87%	79%	@ 1.19
Houston Dynamo +1.5	85%	74%	@ 1.26
St. Louis City +1.5	82%	86%	1.10
Houston Dynamo +1.25	80%	72%	@ 1.33
St. Louis City +1.25	77%	86%	1.11
Houston Dynamo +1	75%	68%	@ 1.42
St. Louis City +1	72%	86%	1.10
Houston Dynamo +0.75	70%	59%	@ 1.61
St. Louis City +0.75	67%	79%	1.21
Houston Dynamo +0.5	65%	53%	@ 1.78
St. Louis City +0.5	61%	–	1.31
Houston Dynamo +0.25	58%	46%	@ 2.10
St. Louis City +0.25	55%	69%	1.38
Houston Dynamo 0	52%	36%	@ 2.63
St. Louis City 0	48%	64%	1.50
Houston Dynamo -0.25	45%	31%	@ 3.10
St. Louis City -0.25	42%	54%	1.76
St. Louis City -0.5	35%	47%	2.03
Houston Dynamo -0.75	33%	21%	@ 4.49
St. Louis City -0.75	30%	41%	2.35
Houston Dynamo -1	28%	14%	@ 6.80
St. Louis City -1	25%	32%	2.94
Houston Dynamo -1.25	23%	14%	@ 6.60
St. Louis City -1.25	20%	28%	3.36
Houston Dynamo -1.5	18%	14%	@ 7.00
St. Louis City -1.5	15%	26%	3.66
St. Louis City -1.75	13%	21%	4.50
St. Louis City -2	10%	14%	6.80

📈 How the market moved

St. Louis City 46%Draw 27%Houston Dynamo 28%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo?

Our model's main pick is Houston Dynamo with a +1.5 start at odds 1.26, with a 85% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo?

Our model makes a Houston Dynamo win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.3 scoreline for St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo.

What is the predicted score for St. Louis City vs Houston Dynamo?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.37 for St. Louis City and 1.32 for Houston Dynamo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do St. Louis City and Houston Dynamo play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 00:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.