ā½ Major League Soccer
Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte in the Major League Soccer. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
Result: Atlanta United FC 0-2 Charlotte
Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte finished 0-2. Charlotte won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Atlanta United FC face Charlotte in the upcoming Major League Soccer tips, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 23:30 UTC. Recent form: Atlanta United FC have 2 wins from their last 5, while Charlotte have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Atlanta United FC won 2, Charlotte won 3. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Atlanta United FC win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.7-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
š„ Best Bet
šÆ Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| 1 | 4.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| 2 | 4.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| 3 | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
š§ Model summary
Our prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.56, with a 70% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Atlanta United FC win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean over 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points yes (68%).
š Key numbers
š Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Atlanta United FC and Charlotte. Wins shown from Atlanta United FCās perspective: Atlanta United FC 2 · Charlotte 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Atlanta United FC | 0 – 2 | Charlotte | L |
| 2026-04-28 | Charlotte | 0 – 2 | Atlanta United FC | W |
| 2024-08-31 | Charlotte | 0 – 1 | Atlanta United FC | W |
| 2024-06-02 | Atlanta United FC | 2 – 3 | Charlotte | L |
| 2023-05-13 | Atlanta United FC | 1 – 3 | Charlotte | L |
š Recent form
Atlanta United FC come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Portland Timbers. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to Orlando City SC.
- WPortland Timbers 0-1 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- DDC United 0-0 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- LAtlanta United FC 2-3 Orlando City SCMajor League Soccer
- DInter Miami 2-2 Atlanta United FCMajor League Soccer
- LAtlanta United FC 0-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
Charlotte come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Atlanta United FC.
- WDC United 1-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- DFC Cincinnati 3-3 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- WCF Montreal 1-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
- DCharlotte 0-0 Houston DynamoMajor League Soccer
- WAtlanta United FC 0-2 CharlotteMajor League Soccer
š„ Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- M. AmaroNot in squad
- E. BaezSuspended (cards)
- L. BrennanInjury
- B. EmboloNot in squad
- A. FortuneHamstring Injury
- N. BerchimasFoot Injury
- A. JohnUpper-Body Injury
- H. ToffoloHamstring Injury
ā½ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Atlanta United FC at 38% to win and Charlotte at 36%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes an Atlanta United FC win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC Win | 38% | 37% | @ 2.50 |
| Charlotte Win | 36% | 37% | @ 2.55 |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | @ 3.55 |
š Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Atlanta United FC or Draw at 1.49 (64% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United FC or Draw | 64% | 63% | @ 1.49 |
| Charlotte or Draw | 62% | 63% | @ 1.50 |
š Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 81% | @ 1.16 |
| Over 2.5 | 70% | 60% | @ 1.56 |
| Under 3.5 | 52% | 62% | @ 1.52 |
| Over 3.5 | 48% | 38% | @ 2.43 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 40% | @ 2.33 |
| Under 1.5 | 13% | 19% | @ 4.90 |
š„ Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 68%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 68% | 63% | @ 1.48 |
| BTTS No | 32% | 37% | @ 2.48 |
š How the market moved
ā Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte?
Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.56, with a 70% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 60%.
Who is the favourite for Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte?
Our model makes an Atlanta United FC win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.9 scoreline for Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte.
What is the predicted score for Atlanta United FC vs Charlotte?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.74 for Atlanta United FC and 1.86 for Charlotte. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Atlanta United FC and Charlotte play?
Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 23:30 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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