Wed 2 Sep2-0Finished

⚽ Brazilian Série A

Flamengo vs Mirassol Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Flamengo vs Mirassol in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Wednesday 02 September 2026, 22:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Flamengo 2-0 Mirassol

Flamengo vs Mirassol finished 2-0. Flamengo won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Flamengo face Mirassol in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Wednesday 02 September 2026, 22:30 UTC. Recent form: Flamengo have 2 wins from their last 5, while Mirassol have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Flamengo won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Flamengo win the most likely result at 60%, projecting a 2.2-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Flamengo vs Mirassol with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Mirassol +2 @ 1.63

74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.20 – 0.97 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.2%	4.1%	2.0%	0.6%	0.2%
1	9.2%	9.0%	4.3%	1.4%	0.3%
2	10.2%	9.9%	4.8%	1.5%	0.4%
3	7.5%	7.2%	3.5%	1.1%	0.3%
4	4.1%	4.0%	1.9%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 2-0

Flamengo winDrawMirassol win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Flamengo vs Mirassol comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Mirassol with a +2 start at odds 1.63, with a 74% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Flamengo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 60%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (55%).

📊 Key numbers

Flamengo 60%Draw 23%Mirassol 17%

60%23%17%

60%

Flamengo Win

61%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Flamengo and Mirassol. Wins shown from Flamengo’s perspective: Flamengo 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-02	Flamengo	2 – 0	Mirassol	W
2026-08-16	Mirassol	1 – 5	Flamengo	W

📈 Recent form

Flamengo

Flamengo come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Independiente del Valle. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WFlamengo 2-1 RB BragantinoBrazilian Série A
DFlamengo 1-1 Independiente del ValleCONMEBOL Libertadores
WFlamengo 2-1 CorinthiansBrazilian Série A
WIndependiente del Valle 0-2 FlamengoCONMEBOL Libertadores
WRemo 0-1 FlamengoBrazilian Série A

Mirassol

Mirassol come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Botafogo. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Flamengo.

WMirassol 2-0 BotafogoBrazilian Série A
DMirassol 2-2 VitóriaBrazilian Série A
WCoritiba 1-2 MirassolBrazilian Série A
LFlamengo 2-0 MirassolBrazilian Série A
DMirassol 1-1 PalmeirasBrazilian Série A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Flamengo

Alex SandroCalf Injury
VitaoMuscle Injury
N. de la CruzMuscle Injury

Mirassol

Edson CariocaInjury
Jose AldoMuscle Injury
NeguebaKnee Injury
Neto MouraSuspended (cards)
Neto MouraInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Flamengo at 60% to win and Mirassol at 17%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Flamengo win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Flamengo Win	60%	76%	@ 1.23
Draw	23%	16%	@ 6.00
Mirassol Win	17%	8%	@ 11.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Flamengo or Draw at 1.03 (82% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Flamengo or Draw	82%	92%	@ 1.03
Mirassol or Draw	40%	24%	@ 3.90

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	82%	82%	@ 1.15
Over 2.5	61%	62%	@ 1.52
Under 3.5	61%	60%	@ 1.58
Over 3.5	39%	40%	@ 2.33
Under 2.5	39%	38%	@ 2.45
Under 1.5	18%	18%	@ 5.25

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	55%	46%	@ 2.02
BTTS No	45%	54%	@ 1.70

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Flamengo or Mirassol is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Mirassol +2	74%	58%	@ 1.63
Mirassol +1.75	70%	51%	@ 1.88
Flamengo -0.25	65%	83%	1.15
Mirassol +1.5	65%	45%	@ 2.10
Flamengo -0.5	60%	76%	1.24
Mirassol +1.25	59%	39%	@ 2.43
Flamengo -0.75	54%	73%	1.30
Mirassol +1	52%	31%	@ 3.03
Flamengo -1	48%	69%	1.37
Mirassol +0.75	46%	27%	@ 3.54
Flamengo -1.25	41%	61%	1.56
Mirassol +0.5	40%	24%	@ 3.88
Flamengo -1.5	35%	55%	1.71
Mirassol +0.25	35%	17%	@ 5.50
Flamengo -1.75	30%	49%	1.99
Flamengo -2	26%	42%	2.26

📈 How the market moved

Flamengo 76%Draw 16%Mirassol 9%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Flamengo vs Mirassol?

Our model's main pick is Mirassol with a +2 start at odds 1.63, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 58%.

Who is the favourite for Flamengo vs Mirassol?

Our model makes a Flamengo win the most likely result at 60%. It projects an expected 2.2-1.0 scoreline for Flamengo vs Mirassol.

What is the predicted score for Flamengo vs Mirassol?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-0, based on expected goals of 2.20 for Flamengo and 0.97 for Mirassol. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Flamengo and Mirassol play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 02 September 2026, 22:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.