Sun 6 Sep1-2Finished

⚽ Brazilian Série A

Coritiba vs Mirassol Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Coritiba vs Mirassol in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Coritiba 1-2 Mirassol

Coritiba vs Mirassol finished 1-2. Mirassol won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Coritiba face Mirassol in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Coritiba have 2 wins from their last 5, while Mirassol have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Coritiba win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.7-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Coritiba vs Mirassol with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.36

80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.74 – 1.23 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.1%	6.3%	3.9%	1.6%	0.5%
1	8.9%	11.0%	6.8%	2.8%	0.9%
2	7.8%	9.6%	5.9%	2.4%	0.7%
3	4.5%	5.5%	3.4%	1.4%	0.4%
4	2.0%	2.4%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Coritiba winDrawMirassol win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Coritiba vs Mirassol comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Coritiba win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points yes (59%).

📊 Key numbers

Coritiba 42%Draw 28%Mirassol 30%

42%28%30%

42%

Coritiba Win

57%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Coritiba

Coritiba come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at Remo. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Vasco da Gama.

LVasco da Gama 5-0 CoritibaBrazilian Série A
DCoritiba 3-3 Athletico ParanaenseBrazilian Série A
LCoritiba 1-2 MirassolBrazilian Série A
WRemo 2-3 CoritibaBrazilian Série A
WCoritiba 2-1 CorinthiansBrazilian Série A

Mirassol

Mirassol come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Botafogo. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Flamengo.

WMirassol 2-0 BotafogoBrazilian Série A
DMirassol 2-2 VitóriaBrazilian Série A
WCoritiba 1-2 MirassolBrazilian Série A
LFlamengo 2-0 MirassolBrazilian Série A
DMirassol 1-1 PalmeirasBrazilian Série A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Coritiba

Lucas RonierKnee Injury
B. OcampoInjury
Tiago CoserSuspended (cards)
TingaMuscle Injury

Mirassol

Edson CariocaInjury
Jose AldoMuscle Injury
NeguebaKnee Injury
WalterInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Coritiba at 42% to win and Mirassol at 30%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Coritiba win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Coritiba Win	42%	40%	@ 2.40
Mirassol Win	30%	31%	@ 3.10
Draw	28%	30%	@ 3.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Coritiba or Draw at 1.36 (69% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Coritiba or Draw	69%	69%	@ 1.36
Mirassol or Draw	57%	60%	@ 1.53

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	80%	70%	@ 1.36
Under 3.5	65%	76%	@ 1.25
Over 2.5	57%	44%	@ 2.15
Under 2.5	43%	56%	@ 1.67
Over 3.5	35%	24%	@ 4.00
Under 1.5	20%	30%	@ 3.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	59%	50%	@ 1.91
BTTS No	41%	50%	@ 1.91

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Coritiba or Mirassol is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Coritiba +1.5	87%	86%	1.10
Mirassol +1.75	83%	86%	1.11
Coritiba +1.25	83%	85%	1.12
Mirassol +1.5	80%	80%	1.18
Coritiba +1	78%	83%	1.14
Mirassol +1.25	74%	79%	1.21
Coritiba +0.75	73%	76%	1.26
Coritiba +0.5	69%	69%	1.39
Mirassol +1	68%	76%	1.25
Mirassol +0.75	63%	67%	1.42
Coritiba +0.25	62%	64%	1.50
Mirassol +0.5	57%	60%	1.59
Coritiba 0	56%	56%	1.69
Mirassol +0.25	51%	53%	1.81
Coritiba -0.25	49%	47%	@ 2.06
Mirassol 0	44%	44%	2.18
Coritiba -0.5	43%	40%	@ 2.38
Mirassol -0.25	38%	36%	2.63
Coritiba -0.75	37%	33%	@ 2.90
Coritiba -1	32%	24%	@ 3.95
Mirassol -0.5	31%	31%	3.05
Mirassol -0.75	27%	24%	@ 3.89
Coritiba -1.25	26%	21%	@ 4.52
Mirassol -1	22%	17%	@ 5.75
Coritiba -1.5	20%	20%	4.80
Mirassol -1.25	17%	15%	@ 6.25
Coritiba -1.75	17%	14%	@ 6.60
Mirassol -1.5	13%	14%	6.80

📈 How the market moved

Coritiba 40%Draw 30%Mirassol 31%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Coritiba vs Mirassol?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for Coritiba vs Mirassol?

Our model makes a Coritiba win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline for Coritiba vs Mirassol.

What is the predicted score for Coritiba vs Mirassol?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.74 for Coritiba and 1.23 for Mirassol. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Coritiba and Mirassol play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.