Sun 13 Sep2-2Finished

⚽ Brazilian Série A

Mirassol vs Vitória Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Mirassol vs Vitória in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Mirassol 2-2 Vitória

Mirassol vs Vitória finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.27, did not land.

Mirassol face Vitória in the upcoming Brazilian Série A tips, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Mirassol have 1 win from their last 5, while Vitória have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Mirassol win the most likely result at 38%, projecting a 1.3-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Mirassol vs Vitória with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Vitória +1.75 @ 1.27

84%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.33 – 1.16 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	9.6%	5.6%	2.2%	0.6%
1	11.0%	12.8%	7.4%	2.9%	0.8%
2	7.3%	8.5%	4.9%	1.9%	0.6%
3	3.3%	3.8%	2.2%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.1%	1.3%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Mirassol winDrawVitória win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Mirassol vs Vitória comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Vitória with a +1.75 start at odds 1.27, with a 84% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Mirassol win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 38%. Goals lean under 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (51%).

📊 Key numbers

Mirassol 38%Draw 32%Vitória 30%

38%32%30%

38%

Mirassol Win

55%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Mirassol

Mirassol come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Botafogo. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Flamengo.

WMirassol 2-0 BotafogoBrazilian Série A
DMirassol 2-2 VitóriaBrazilian Série A
WCoritiba 1-2 MirassolBrazilian Série A
LFlamengo 2-0 MirassolBrazilian Série A
DMirassol 1-1 PalmeirasBrazilian Série A

Vitória

Vitória come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Grêmio. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to Cruzeiro.

LVitória 1-3 CruzeiroBrazilian Série A
DMirassol 2-2 VitóriaBrazilian Série A
WVitória 1-0 GrêmioBrazilian Série A
LVitória 0-2 Vasco da GamaCopa Do Brasil
LAtlético Mineiro 2-1 VitóriaBrazilian Série A

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 15 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Mirassol

DenilsonSuspended (cards)
Joao VictorSuspended (cards)
Jose AldoMuscle Injury
NeguebaKnee Injury
WalterInjury

Vitória

AndersonKnee Injury
BaralhasNot in squad
CamutangaBroken Leg
DuduBack Injury
EduAchilles Tendon Injury
Emmanuel MartinezInjury
Nathan MendesKnee Injury
RamonInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Mirassol at 38% to win and Vitória at 30%, with the draw at 32%. Our model makes a Mirassol win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Mirassol Win	38%	48%	@ 1.94
Draw	32%	27%	@ 3.40
Vitória Win	30%	25%	@ 3.80

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Mirassol or Draw at 1.25 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Mirassol or Draw	68%	75%	@ 1.25
Vitória or Draw	59%	52%	@ 1.82

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	76%	74%	@ 1.27
Over 1.5	71%	72%	@ 1.30
Under 2.5	55%	53%	@ 1.78
Over 2.5	45%	47%	@ 2.00
Under 1.5	29%	28%	@ 3.40
Over 3.5	24%	26%	@ 3.60

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	51%	52%	@ 1.78
BTTS No	49%	48%	@ 1.93

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Mirassol or Vitória is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Vitória +2	87%	82%	@ 1.16
Vitória +1.75	84%	–	@ 1.27
Vitória +1.5	81%	69%	@ 1.38
Vitória +1.25	75%	64%	@ 1.48
Mirassol +0.75	72%	85%	1.12
Vitória +1	70%	59%	@ 1.61
Mirassol +0.5	68%	79%	1.21
Vitória +0.75	64%	51%	@ 1.89
Mirassol +0.25	61%	77%	1.23
Vitória +0.5	59%	45%	@ 2.12
Mirassol 0	54%	74%	1.28
Vitória +0.25	52%	37%	@ 2.56
Mirassol -0.25	48%	63%	1.51
Vitória 0	46%	26%	@ 3.60
Mirassol -0.5	41%	55%	1.73
Vitória -0.25	39%	23%	@ 4.20
Mirassol -0.75	36%	49%	1.98
Vitória -0.5	32%	21%	@ 4.50
Mirassol -1	30%	41%	2.34
Vitória -0.75	28%	15%	@ 6.40
Mirassol -1.25	25%	36%	2.69
Mirassol -1.5	19%	31%	3.07
Mirassol -2	13%	18%	5.25

📈 How the market moved

Mirassol 55%Draw 25%Vitória 20%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Mirassol vs Vitória?

Our model's main pick is Vitória with a +1.75 start at odds 1.27, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 79%.

Who is the favourite for Mirassol vs Vitória?

Our model makes a Mirassol win the most likely result at 38%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.2 scoreline for Mirassol vs Vitória.

What is the predicted score for Mirassol vs Vitória?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.33 for Mirassol and 1.16 for Vitória. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Mirassol and Vitória play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.