This page was published before our methodology update of 17 September 2026. It may show labels such as "value", "expected value" or "AI Confidence", which we no longer use: in our own testing the bookmaker market was a better forecast than our model. Read the update
JordanvsAlgeria

⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage

Jordan vs Algeria Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Jordan vs Algeria at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Tuesday 23 June 2026, 03:00 UTC at Levi's Stadium – Santa Clara.

Result: Jordan 1-2 Algeria

Jordan vs Algeria finished 1-2. Algeria won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.28, landed.

Jordan met Algeria in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Levi's Stadium – Santa Clara, finishing 1-2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Algeria win the most likely result at 70%, projecting a 0.9-1.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Jordan vs Algeria with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 1.5 @ 1.28
80%
High AI Confidence
Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 0.85 – 1.85 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 6.7% 12.4% 11.5% 7.1% 3.3%
1 5.7% 10.6% 9.8% 6.0% 2.8%
2 2.4% 4.5% 4.2% 2.6% 1.2%
3 0.7% 1.3% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-2
Jordan winDrawAlgeria win

Our prediction for Jordan vs Algeria is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Algeria win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 70%. Goals lean over 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points no (51%). Separately, the biggest gap between our model and the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.85 (+7.9% model edge).

Largest model edge
Over 2.5 at odds 1.85, 58% model probability, +7.9% value versus the bookmaker price.

Key numbers

Jordan 12%Draw 18%Algeria 70%
12%18%70%
70%
Algeria Win
58%
Over 2.5 goals
51%
BTTS no
+7.9%
Model edge: Over 2.5

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Jordan at 12% to win and Algeria at 70%, with the draw at 18%. Our model makes an Algeria win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Algeria Win 70% 1.55 +7.7%
Draw 18% 3.95 -27.7%
Jordan Win 12% 5.75 -29.8%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Algeria or the draw at 1.13 (88% model).

Selection Model % Odds Value
Algeria or Draw – Double Chance (X2) 88% 1.13 -0.8%
Jordan or Algeria – Double Chance (12) 82% 1.18 -3.6%
Jordan or Draw – Double Chance (1X) 30% 2.38 -27.4%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.8 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Over 3.5 36% 3.25 +16.7%
Over 2.5 58% 1.85 +7.9%
Over 1.5 80% 1.28 +3.0%
Under 3.5 64% 1.33 -14.7%
Under 2.5 42% 1.90 -20.8%
Under 1.5 20% 3.55 -30.8%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.

Selection Model % Odds Value
BTTS Yes 49% 1.91 -5.6%
BTTS No 51% 1.80 -8.9%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Jordan or Algeria is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Jordan +3.5 89% 1.04 -7.8%
Jordan +2.5 75% 1.17 -12.1%
Jordan +1.5 54% 1.50 -18.6%
Jordan +0.5 30% 2.40 -26.8%
Jordan -0.5 12% 5.75 -29.8%
Jordan -1.5 4% 12.00 -56.8%

Frequently asked questions

Was the Jordan vs Algeria prediction correct?

Jordan vs Algeria finished 1-2. Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.28, landed.

What is the prediction for Jordan vs Algeria?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 80% model probability. The biggest separate model edge is over 2.5 goals at 1.85 (+7.9% model edge).

Who is the favourite for Jordan vs Algeria?

Our model makes an Algeria win the most likely result at 70%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.8 scoreline for Jordan vs Algeria.

What is the predicted score for Jordan vs Algeria?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 0.85 for Jordan and 1.85 for Algeria. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Jordan and Algeria play?

Kick-off is Tuesday 23 June 2026, 03:00 UTC at Levi's Stadium – Santa Clara.

Where is Jordan vs Algeria being played?

The match takes place at Levi's Stadium – Santa Clara, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then shown next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds. No human opinion is involved.

Are these World Cup tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

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