FIFA World Cup 2026 Predictions, Groups & Fixtures
The 2026 FIFA World Cup is the biggest in tournament history — 48 teams, 12 groups, and 104 matches across the United States, Canada, and Mexico from June 11 to July 19, 2026. Below you find the full group draw, the complete match schedule, and our AI-powered predictions for every fixture as they become available.
Our prediction model has been adjusted for international football: World Cup matches receive special handling that weighs bookmaker consensus and recent national-team form more heavily than our standard club-football model. Predictions for individual matches will appear on this page from match day onward, and on our daily tips homepage.
Who Will Win the World Cup 2026?
Our overview of the top contenders, with bookmaker odds and a quick read on each squad chances.
Bookmaker consensus on the favourites to lift the trophy on July 19, 2026.
Odds shown in decimal format; implied probability calculated from odds (does not account for bookmaker margin).
#1 FAVORITE
Spain
Decimal odds
5.75
Implied
17.4%
Group
H
Reigning European champions and the world's No. 2 ranked side. Pedri, Yamal and Nico Williams form an attacking trio few defences can contain, and a manageable Group H (Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, Uruguay) gives them a clean path through. Their lengthy unbeaten run reflects elite tactical cohesion under Luis de la Fuente.
#
Team
Group
Odds
Implied
2
France
I
6.00
16.67%
Mbappé remains at his peak, with Dembélé, Olise and Tchouaméni offering the kind of squad depth few rivals can match. The 2022 runners-up carry both pedigree and motivation, though Group I against Senegal, Iraq and Norway is tougher than the seeding suggests. Defensive organisation under Deschamps is their other major asset.
3
England
L
7.50
13.33%
Bellingham, Foden, Saka and Kane anchor a squad that has been knocking on the door for two consecutive cycles. Group L (Croatia, Ghana, Panama) is winnable but Croatia represents a genuine threat for top spot. The big question remains whether England can finally convert quarter-final exits into a title.
4
Brazil
C
9.00
11.11%
Under Carlo Ancelotti, Brazil look more structured and defensively organised than in recent cycles. Vinícius Júnior, Raphinha and Rodrygo still provide elite attacking quality, and a record five World Cup titles brings tournament know-how. Group C with Morocco, Haiti and Scotland should pose no major obstacles.
5
Argentina
J
10.00
10.00%
Defending champions arrive with the core of the 2022 squad largely intact. Messi's involvement remains the biggest question mark, but Julián Álvarez, Enzo Fernández and Lautaro Martínez form one of the most talented rosters in the tournament. Group J (Algeria, Austria, Jordan) is a soft landing.
6
Portugal
K
11.00
9.09%
Cristiano Ronaldo's likely farewell tournament, with Bernardo Silva, Bruno Fernandes and Rafael Leão providing the creative engine. The squad has both experience and rising stars like João Neves. Group K with Congo DR, Uzbekistan and Colombia is testable, with Colombia a real challenger for top spot.
7
Germany
E
15.00
6.67%
Recovery project under Julian Nagelsmann showing genuine signs of revival after the disappointment of 2022. Florian Wirtz and Jamal Musiala bring the technical quality that was missing, and Group E (Curaçao, Ivory Coast, Ecuador) presents no major hurdles. Defensive solidity remains their main concern.
8
Netherlands
F
21.00
4.76%
Frenkie de Jong, Cody Gakpo and Memphis Depay headline a squad with quality across every position. Group F (Japan, Sweden, Tunisia) is interesting but navigable. Recent tournament records show inconsistent ability to convert talent into deep runs.
9
Norway
I
31.00
3.23%
First World Cup since 1998 and they arrive with one of the world's deadliest attackers in Erling Haaland, supported by Martin Ødegaard. Group I includes France and Senegal, making qualification realistic but the path beyond hostile. Inexperience at major tournaments is the obvious caveat.
10
Belgium
G
36.00
2.78%
Generation Golden has aged, but De Bruyne, Lukaku and Doku still offer significant quality. Group G (Egypt, Iran, New Zealand) should produce comfortable advancement, and a deep run is possible if cohesion holds. The window to convert squad talent into silverware is closing fast.
11
Colombia
K
41.00
2.44%
Hot streak through CONMEBOL qualifying, with James Rodríguez rolling back the years and Luis Díaz providing the X-factor. Group K alongside Portugal will determine their ceiling. Underrated outsiders capable of springing surprises if the bracket opens up.
12
Uruguay
H
51.00
1.96%
Federico Valverde, Darwin Núñez and Ronald Araújo form a core with elite midfield range, attacking threat and defensive class. Group H against Spain is a tough draw, but Marcelo Bielsa's tactical demands tend to lift the team. Dark horse pick for the knockouts.
13
Morocco
C
51.00
1.96%
2022 semi-finalists returning with most of their core intact: Hakimi, Saïss, Ziyech and a rising generation. Group C with Brazil is the test, but Morocco's organised approach makes them a difficult out for any opponent. Continental confidence at all-time high.
14
Switzerland
B
66.00
1.52%
Improved odds (100-1 to 80-1 in recent weeks) reflect quiet confidence in Murat Yakin's project. Granit Xhaka and Manuel Akanji anchor a balanced squad, and Group B (Canada, Bosnia, Qatar) is one of the most open in the tournament. Underdog reaching the quarters would not shock.
15
Japan
F
66.00
1.52%
Quality across the squad with Mitoma, Kubo and Endo, and a track record of producing tournament upsets (Germany and Spain at 2022). Group F gives them Netherlands and Sweden as serious tests. The European-based core has been together long enough to know each other.
16
Croatia
L
81.00
1.23%
Veteran core of Modrić, Kovačić and Brozović still capable of controlling games at the highest level, but the legs may not last 7 rounds. Group L with England will be a defining test. Recent tournament pedigree (2018 finalists, 2022 semis) demands respect even at long odds.
Odds last updated: 22 May 2026.
Source: bookmaker consensus (Bet365, DraftKings, Pinnacle, BetMGM). Always verify with your own bookmaker before placing a bet.
Golden Boot: Top Scorer Predictions
Who will score the most goals across the tournament? The top-10 favourites with bookmaker odds and our take on each player chances.
Bookmaker consensus on the favourites to win the Golden Boot — awarded to the player who scores the most goals during the tournament. Reasoning includes group difficulty, penalty-taking duties, and squad role.
#1 FAVORITE
Kylian Mbappé
France · Forward · Group I
Decimal odds
7.00
Implied
14.3%
Won the 2022 Golden Boot with 8 goals, including a hat-trick in the final. France's first-choice striker and primary penalty taker, with a favourable Group I path (Iraq and Senegal offer goal opportunities) and the squad to make a deep run. Speed, finishing and tournament pedigree all align.
#
Player
Team
Odds
Implied
2
Harry KaneForward
England
8.00
12.50%
2018 Golden Boot winner with 6 goals and England's all-time leading scorer. Primary penalty taker and the focal point of Tuchel's attack. Group L (Croatia, Ghana, Panama) is winnable, and England are genuine contenders to reach the latter stages. The risk: Bukayo Saka and Cole Palmer increasingly share creative load.
3
Lionel MessiForward
Argentina
13.00
7.69%
Almost certainly his final World Cup, but still capable of decisive moments. Argentina's Group J (Algeria, Austria, Jordan) is a soft landing that should yield goals. The volume question remains — Messi at 38 will likely manage minutes — but quality on the biggest stage has never been an issue.
4
Erling HaalandForward
Norway
15.00
6.67%
Norway's all-time leading scorer with 55 goals in 48 caps, averaging better than a goal per game internationally. The catch: Group I with France and Senegal makes deep progression uncertain. If Norway escape the group, Haaland's club-level scoring rate makes him capable of erupting against any opposition.
5
Lamine YamalWinger
Spain
19.00
5.26%
Spain's 18-year-old phenom, Ballon d'Or runner-up and central to Spain's attacking machine. Group H with Cape Verde and Saudi Arabia offers high-scoring potential. Not Spain's primary penalty taker — slight handicap for volume — but pace, creativity and unbroken upward trajectory make him the value pick of the market.
6
Mikel OyarzabalForward
Spain
19.00
5.26%
Scored the Euro 2024 final winner and Spain's most reliable centre-forward when Álvaro Morata isn't selected. Same favourable Group H draw as Yamal. Penalty duties give him a volume advantage some of the other contenders lack. Spain's deep run will lift any of their attackers into Golden Boot contention.
7
Cristiano RonaldoForward
Portugal
21.00
4.76%
At 41, this is his last World Cup. Still Portugal's primary striker and penalty taker. Group K against Congo DR, Uzbekistan and Colombia is winnable. The legacy narrative is irresistible: a Golden Boot to cap one of football's great careers, but age and Portugal's tournament ceiling are real limiters.
8
Vinícius JúniorForward
Brazil
23.00
4.35%
Brazil's most dangerous attacker under Ancelotti, with Champions League pedigree and ability to score across all match contexts. Group C (Morocco, Haiti, Scotland) offers goal opportunities, and Brazil are tournament favourites to reach the semis. Sharing attacking load with Raphinha and Rodrygo is the volume concern.
9
Lautaro MartínezForward
Argentina
26.00
3.85%
Inter Milan's prolific Serie A finisher and one of the world's best centre-forwards. Argentina's Group J draw is generous, and the defending champions are likely to play deep into July. With Messi managing minutes, Martínez should see the lion's share of striker opportunities — possibly the best value bet in the top-10.
10
Ousmane DembéléWinger
France
29.00
3.45%
France's most explosive wide attacker after his PSG-leading season. Plays alongside Mbappé in a front-three with elite supply lines. Group I offers winnable matches, and France's depth means Dembélé could see significant minutes even into the knockout rounds. Outside pick if Mbappé is marked tightly.
Odds last updated: 22 May 2026.
Source: bookmaker consensus (DraftKings, BetMGM, FanDuel, bet365). Always verify with your own bookmaker before placing a bet.
The 12 Groups
Top 2 teams from each group, plus the 8 best third-placed teams, advance to the knockout stage (Round of 32).
All 72 group-stage fixtures are listed below. Knockout fixtures will appear here once they are confirmed after the group stage. Filter by group to focus on your favourite team.