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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Egypt vs Iran Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Egypt vs Iran at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Saturday 27 June 2026, 03:00 UTC at Lumen Field – Seattle.
Egypt face Iran in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, kicking off Saturday 27 June 2026, 03:00 UTC at Lumen Field – Seattle. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Iran win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.2-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Egypt vs Iran with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.5% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 13.3% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 8.5% | 7.8% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Our prediction for Egypt vs Iran is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Iran or the draw at odds 1.50, the selection our model is most confident in at 72%. On the match result, the model rates an Iran win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean under 2.5 (69%), both teams to score points no (62%).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Egypt at 28% to win and Iran at 41%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes an Iran win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran Win | 41% | 3.75 | +53.4% |
| Draw | 31% | 2.52 | -21.6% |
| Egypt Win | 28% | 2.46 | -31.4% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Iran or the draw at 1.50 (72% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iran or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 72% | 1.50 | +8.1% |
| Egypt or Iran – Double Chance (12) | 69% | 1.44 | -0.8% |
| Egypt or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 59% | 1.25 | -26.1% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 69% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 42% | 2.40 | +1.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 69% | 1.44 | -0.1% |
| Under 3.5 | 87% | 1.15 | -0.2% |
| Over 1.5 | 58% | 1.55 | -10.6% |
| Over 2.5 | 31% | 2.75 | -15.8% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 5.25 | -30.7% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 62%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 62% | 1.67 | +3.7% |
| BTTS Yes | 38% | 2.10 | -20.4% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Egypt or Iran is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt +2.5 | 95% | 1.01 | -4.3% |
| Egypt +1.5 | 83% | 1.02 | -15.0% |
| Egypt +0.5 | 59% | 1.30 | -23.2% |
| Egypt -0.5 | 28% | 2.40 | -33.0% |
| Egypt -1.5 | 9% | 5.25 | -51.7% |
| Egypt -2.5 | 2% | 9.80 | -77.5% |
| Egypt -3.5 | 0% | 38.00 | -84.8% |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Egypt vs Iran?
Our main pick is Iran or the draw at odds 1.50, with 72% model confidence.
Who is the favourite for Egypt vs Iran?
Our model makes an Iran win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.2-0.9 scoreline for Egypt vs Iran.
What is the predicted score for Egypt vs Iran?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.17 for Egypt and 0.91 for Iran. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Egypt and Iran play?
Kick-off is Saturday 27 June 2026, 03:00 UTC at Lumen Field – Seattle.
Where is Egypt vs Iran being played?
The match takes place at Lumen Field – Seattle, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.