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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Germany vs Ivory Coast Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Germany vs Ivory Coast at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Saturday 20 June 2026, 20:00 UTC at BMO Field – Toronto.
Result: Germany 2-1 Ivory Coast
Germany vs Ivory Coast finished 2-1. Germany won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.53, landed.
Germany met Ivory Coast in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at BMO Field – Toronto, finishing 2-1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Germany win the most likely result at 53%, projecting a 2.0-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Germany vs Ivory Coast with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 9.8% | 10.0% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Our prediction for Germany vs Ivory Coast is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Germany win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 53%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points no (52%). Separately, the biggest gap between our model and the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 2.30 (+23.3% model edge).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Germany at 53% to win and Ivory Coast at 22%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Germany win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ivory Coast Win | 22% | 5.20 | +13.9% |
| Draw | 25% | 4.35 | +8.7% |
| Germany Win | 53% | 1.54 | -18.2% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Ivory Coast or the draw at 2.40 (47% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ivory Coast or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 47% | 2.40 | +12.6% |
| Germany or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 78% | 1.14 | -11.0% |
| Germany or Ivory Coast – Double Chance (12) | 75% | 1.17 | -12.3% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 28% | 4.75 | +33.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 2.30 | +23.3% |
| Under 3.5 | 75% | 1.53 | +14.9% |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 1.18 | -15.2% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 1.60 | -25.8% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 2.45 | -39.0% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 52% | 2.10 | +8.6% |
| BTTS Yes | 48% | 1.65 | -20.3% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Germany or Ivory Coast is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Germany +2.5 | 98% | 1.00 | -1.9% |
| Germany +1.5 | 93% | 1.03 | -4.6% |
| Germany +0.5 | 78% | 1.15 | -10.2% |
| Germany -0.5 | 53% | 1.50 | -20.4% |
| Germany -1.5 | 28% | 2.38 | -32.9% |
| Germany -2.5 | 12% | 4.40 | -47.6% |
| Germany -3.5 | 4% | 8.00 | -67.2% |
| Germany -4.5 | 1% | 19.00 | -77.2% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Germany vs Ivory Coast prediction correct?
Germany vs Ivory Coast finished 2-1. Our pre-match best bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.53, landed.
What is the prediction for Germany vs Ivory Coast?
Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.53, with a 75% model probability. The biggest separate model edge is under 2.5 goals at 2.30 (+23.3% model edge).
Who is the favourite for Germany vs Ivory Coast?
Our model makes a Germany win the most likely result at 53%. It projects an expected 2.0-1.0 scoreline for Germany vs Ivory Coast.
What is the predicted score for Germany vs Ivory Coast?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.04 for Germany and 1.02 for Ivory Coast. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Germany and Ivory Coast play?
Kick-off is Saturday 20 June 2026, 20:00 UTC at BMO Field – Toronto.
Where is Germany vs Ivory Coast being played?
The match takes place at BMO Field – Toronto, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then shown next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
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