vs
⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Morocco vs Haiti Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Morocco vs Haiti at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Wednesday 24 June 2026, 22:00 UTC at Mercedes-Benz Stadium – Atlanta.
Morocco face Haiti in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, kicking off Wednesday 24 June 2026, 22:00 UTC at Mercedes-Benz Stadium – Atlanta. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Morocco win the most likely result at 83%, projecting a 2.6-0.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Morocco vs Haiti with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.7% | 6.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 13.8% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 11.9% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 7.6% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Our prediction for Morocco vs Haiti is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is both teams not to score at odds 1.57, the selection our model is most confident in at 67%. On the match result, the model rates a Morocco win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 83%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points no (67%).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Morocco at 83% to win and Haiti at 5%, with the draw at 13%. Our model makes a Morocco win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco Win | 83% | 1.17 | -3.4% |
| Draw | 13% | 6.75 | -14.3% |
| Haiti Win | 5% | 14.50 | -33.3% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Morocco or the draw at 1.02 (95% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 95% | 1.02 | -2.7% |
| Morocco or Haiti – Double Chance (12) | 87% | 1.09 | -4.8% |
| Haiti or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 17% | 4.75 | -17.4% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.6-0.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.45 | +5.4% |
| Under 3.5 | 65% | 1.60 | +4.6% |
| Under 1.5 | 20% | 5.00 | +2.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 1.17 | -6.9% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.53 | -12.8% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 2.30 | -20.4% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 67%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 67% | 1.57 | +5.2% |
| BTTS Yes | 33% | 2.25 | -25.7% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Morocco or Haiti is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco +0.5 | 95% | 1.04 | -0.8% |
| Morocco +1.5 | 99% | 1.00 | -0.8% |
| Morocco -0.5 | 83% | 1.19 | -1.7% |
| Morocco -1.5 | 61% | 1.53 | -6.8% |
| Morocco -2.5 | 38% | 2.42 | -9.3% |
| Morocco -3.5 | 19% | 4.25 | -17.6% |
| Morocco -4.5 | 9% | 7.20 | -38.1% |
| Morocco -5.5 | 3% | 15.50 | -48.8% |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Morocco vs Haiti?
Our main pick is both teams not to score at odds 1.57, with 67% model confidence.
Who is the favourite for Morocco vs Haiti?
Our model makes a Morocco win the most likely result at 83%. It projects an expected 2.6-0.6 scoreline for Morocco vs Haiti.
What is the predicted score for Morocco vs Haiti?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 3-1, based on expected goals of 2.58 for Morocco and 0.60 for Haiti. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Morocco and Haiti play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 24 June 2026, 22:00 UTC at Mercedes-Benz Stadium – Atlanta.
Where is Morocco vs Haiti being played?
The match takes place at Mercedes-Benz Stadium – Atlanta, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
More World Cup predictions
vs
vs
vs
vs
vs
vs
vs
vs
vs
vs
vs
vs
vs
vs
vs
vs
vs
vs
vs
vs
vs
Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.