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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Round of 32
South Africa vs Canada Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for South Africa vs Canada at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Sunday 28 June 2026, 19:00 UTC at SoFi Stadium – Inglewood.
Result: South Africa 0-1 Canada
South Africa vs Canada finished 0-1. Canada won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, South Africa or the draw at 2.10, did not land.
South Africa met Canada in Round of 32 of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at SoFi Stadium – Inglewood, finishing 0-1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Canada win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 0.8-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for South Africa vs Canada with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.5% | 13.8% | 11.3% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 7.1% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| 2 | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Our prediction for South Africa vs Canada is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is South Africa or the draw at odds 2.10, the selection our model is most confident in at 59%. On the match result, the model rates a Canada win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (78%), both teams to score points no (70%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.70 (+33.1% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices South Africa at 25% to win and Canada at 40%, with the draw at 35%. Our model makes a Canada win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Africa Win | 25% | 5.10 | +26.0% |
| Draw | 35% | 3.55 | +23.5% |
| Canada Win | 40% | 1.69 | -31.6% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is South Africa or the draw at 2.10 (60% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Africa or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 60% | 2.10 | +25.0% |
| Canada or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 75% | 1.15 | -13.4% |
| South Africa or Canada – Double Chance (12) | 65% | 1.22 | -20.5% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.8-1.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 78% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 52% | 3.10 | +62.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 78% | 1.70 | +33.1% |
| Under 3.5 | 92% | 1.25 | +15.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 48% | 1.36 | -35.4% |
| Over 2.5 | 22% | 2.10 | -54.4% |
| Over 3.5 | 8% | 3.80 | -70.0% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 70%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 70% | 1.75 | +23.4% |
| BTTS Yes | 30% | 1.95 | -42.5% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when South Africa or Canada is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Africa +0.5 | 60% | 2.15 | +27.9% |
| South Africa -0.5 | 25% | 5.00 | +23.5% |
| South Africa +1.5 | 85% | 1.38 | +17.3% |
| South Africa +2.5 | 96% | 1.12 | +7.4% |
| South Africa +3.5 | 99% | 1.02 | +1.1% |
| South Africa -1.5 | 7% | 12.00 | -19.6% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the South Africa vs Canada prediction correct?
South Africa vs Canada finished 0-1. Our pre-match best bet, South Africa or the draw at 2.10, did not land.
What is the prediction for South Africa vs Canada?
Our main pick is South Africa or the draw at odds 2.10, with 59% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 1.70 (+33.1% value).
Who is the favourite for South Africa vs Canada?
Our model makes a Canada win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 0.8-1.6 scoreline for South Africa vs Canada.
What is the predicted score for South Africa vs Canada?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 0.84 for South Africa and 1.63 for Canada. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do South Africa and Canada play?
Kick-off is Sunday 28 June 2026, 19:00 UTC at SoFi Stadium – Inglewood.
Where is South Africa vs Canada being played?
The match takes place at SoFi Stadium – Inglewood, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.