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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Sunday 21 June 2026, 22:00 UTC at Hard Rock Stadium – Miami Gardens.
Result: Uruguay 2-2 Cape Verde Islands
Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.22, did not land.
Uruguay met Cape Verde Islands in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Hard Rock Stadium – Miami Gardens, finishing 2-2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Uruguay win the most likely result at 56%, projecting a 1.7-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.1% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 15.9% | 10.4% | 3.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 13.9% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 8.1% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Our prediction for Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.22, the selection our model is most confident in at 88%. On the match result, the model rates an Uruguay win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 56%. Goals lean under 2.5 (71%), both teams to score points no (69%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.65 (+17.6% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Uruguay at 56% to win and Cape Verde Islands at 15%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes an Uruguay win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 29% | 4.00 | +15.2% |
| Cape Verde Islands Win | 15% | 7.10 | +9.3% |
| Uruguay Win | 56% | 1.47 | -18.0% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Cape Verde Islands or the draw at 2.62 (44% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cape Verde Islands or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 44% | 2.62 | +15.8% |
| Uruguay or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 85% | 1.08 | -8.6% |
| Uruguay or Cape Verde Islands – Double Chance (12) | 71% | 1.20 | -14.6% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-0.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 71% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 44% | 2.90 | +28.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 71% | 1.65 | +17.6% |
| Under 3.5 | 88% | 1.22 | +7.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 56% | 1.40 | -22.2% |
| Over 2.5 | 29% | 2.20 | -36.9% |
| Over 3.5 | 12% | 4.20 | -50.0% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 69%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 69% | 1.53 | +5.9% |
| BTTS Yes | 31% | 2.35 | -27.6% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Uruguay or Cape Verde Islands is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uruguay +1.5 | 96% | 1.01 | -2.5% |
| Uruguay +0.5 | 85% | 1.10 | -6.9% |
| Uruguay -0.5 | 56% | 1.44 | -19.6% |
| Uruguay -1.5 | 27% | 2.35 | -36.3% |
| Uruguay -2.5 | 10% | 4.50 | -54.6% |
| Uruguay -3.5 | 3% | 8.80 | -73.6% |
| Uruguay -4.5 | 1% | 25.00 | -82.5% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands prediction correct?
Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands finished 2-2. Our pre-match best bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.22, did not land.
What is the prediction for Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands?
Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.22, with 88% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 1.65 (+17.6% value).
Who is the favourite for Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands?
Our model makes an Uruguay win the most likely result at 56%. It projects an expected 1.7-0.7 scoreline for Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands.
What is the predicted score for Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 1.74 for Uruguay and 0.65 for Cape Verde Islands. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Uruguay and Cape Verde Islands play?
Kick-off is Sunday 21 June 2026, 22:00 UTC at Hard Rock Stadium – Miami Gardens.
Where is Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands being played?
The match takes place at Hard Rock Stadium – Miami Gardens, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.