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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Norway vs France Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Norway vs France at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Friday 26 June 2026, 19:00 UTC at Gillette Stadium – Boston.
Result: Norway 1-4 France
Norway vs France finished 1-4. France won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Norway met France in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Gillette Stadium – Boston, finishing 1-4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a France win the most likely result at 59%, projecting a 1.1-2.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Norway vs France with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| 1 | 4.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% |
| 2 | 2.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| 3 | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
Our prediction for Norway vs France is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Norway with a +1.5 start at odds 1.52, the selection our model is most confident in at 65%. On the match result, the model rates a France win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 59%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (57%).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Norway at 20% to win and France at 59%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes a France win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norway Win | 20% | 4.90 | -3.0% |
| France Win | 59% | 1.58 | -7.1% |
| Draw | 21% | 4.30 | -8.4% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Norway or the draw at 2.30 (41% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norway or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 41% | 2.30 | -5.2% |
| France or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 80% | 1.17 | -6.2% |
| Norway or France – Double Chance (12) | 79% | 1.17 | -7.9% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-2.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 63% | 1.53 | -3.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 1.18 | -4.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.35 | -4.4% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.57 | -6.9% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 2.45 | -9.6% |
| Under 1.5 | 19% | 4.75 | -10.7% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 43% | 2.15 | -7.3% |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.62 | -7.8% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Norway or France is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norway +1.5 | 65% | 1.52 | -1.8% |
| Norway +2.5 | 82% | 1.19 | -1.8% |
| Norway +0.5 | 41% | 2.35 | -3.2% |
| Norway +3.5 | 93% | 1.00 | -7.2% |
| Norway -0.5 | 20% | 4.50 | -10.9% |
| Norway -1.5 | 7% | 10.00 | -28.0% |
| Norway -2.5 | 2% | 26.00 | -45.4% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Norway vs France prediction correct?
Norway vs France finished 1-4.
What is the prediction for Norway vs France?
Our main pick is Norway with a +1.5 start at odds 1.52, with 65% model confidence.
Who is the favourite for Norway vs France?
Our model makes a France win the most likely result at 59%. It projects an expected 1.1-2.0 scoreline for Norway vs France.
What is the predicted score for Norway vs France?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.07 for Norway and 2.03 for France. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Norway and France play?
Kick-off is Friday 26 June 2026, 19:00 UTC at Gillette Stadium – Boston.
Where is Norway vs France being played?
The match takes place at Gillette Stadium – Boston, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.