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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Round of 32
Colombia vs Ghana Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Colombia vs Ghana at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Saturday 04 July 2026, 01:30 UTC at Arrowhead Stadium – Kansas City.
Result: Colombia 1-0 Ghana
Colombia vs Ghana finished 1-0. Colombia won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.33, did not land.
Colombia met Ghana in Round of 32 of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Arrowhead Stadium – Kansas City, finishing 1-0. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Colombia win the most likely result at 82%, projecting a 1.9-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Colombia vs Ghana with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.7% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.6% | 9.7% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 14.0% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 8.9% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Our prediction for Colombia vs Ghana is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, the selection our model is most confident in at 84%. On the match result, the model rates a Colombia win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 82%. Goals lean over 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points no (59%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Colombia to win by 2+ goals at odds 2.20 (+36.0% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Colombia at 82% to win and Ghana at 6%, with the draw at 12%. Our model makes a Colombia win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colombia Win | 82% | 1.41 | +15.9% |
| Draw | 12% | 4.20 | -48.3% |
| Ghana Win | 6% | 8.25 | -54.6% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Colombia or Ghana (draw excluded) at 1.17 (88% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colombia or Ghana – Double Chance (12) | 88% | 1.17 | +2.6% |
| Colombia or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 94% | 1.05 | -0.8% |
| Ghana or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 18% | 2.85 | -49.3% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-0.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 64% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 3.50 | +45.2% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 2.00 | +27.2% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 1.33 | +11.6% |
| Under 3.5 | 58% | 1.28 | -25.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 1.80 | -34.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 16% | 3.25 | -47.7% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 59%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 59% | 1.60 | -5.1% |
| BTTS Yes | 41% | 2.20 | -10.5% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Colombia or Ghana is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colombia -3.5 | 21% | 8.00 | +69.6% |
| Colombia -2.5 | 39% | 4.10 | +61.1% |
| Colombia -1.5 | 62% | 2.20 | +36.0% |
| Colombia -0.5 | 82% | 1.44 | +18.4% |
| Colombia +0.5 | 94% | 1.10 | +4.0% |
| Colombia +1.5 | 99% | 1.00 | -1.2% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Colombia vs Ghana prediction correct?
Colombia vs Ghana finished 1-0. Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.33, did not land.
What is the prediction for Colombia vs Ghana?
Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.33, with 84% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Colombia to win by 2+ goals at 2.20 (+36.0% value).
Who is the favourite for Colombia vs Ghana?
Our model makes a Colombia win the most likely result at 82%. It projects an expected 1.9-0.7 scoreline for Colombia vs Ghana.
What is the predicted score for Colombia vs Ghana?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 1.91 for Colombia and 0.66 for Ghana. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Colombia and Ghana play?
Kick-off is Saturday 04 July 2026, 01:30 UTC at Arrowhead Stadium – Kansas City.
Where is Colombia vs Ghana being played?
The match takes place at Arrowhead Stadium – Kansas City, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.