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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Türkiye vs Paraguay Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Türkiye vs Paraguay at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Saturday 20 June 2026, 03:00 UTC at Levi's Stadium – Santa Clara.
Result: Türkiye 0-1 Paraguay
Türkiye vs Paraguay finished 0-1. Paraguay won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.28, landed.
Türkiye met Paraguay in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Levi's Stadium – Santa Clara, finishing 0-1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Türkiye win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 1.5-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Türkiye vs Paraguay with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.7% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 11.6% | 12.2% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 8.8% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Our prediction for Türkiye vs Paraguay is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 83% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Türkiye win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean under 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points no (58%). Separately, the biggest gap between our model and the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.80 (+15.6% model edge).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Türkiye at 43% to win and Paraguay at 28%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Türkiye win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay Win | 28% | 3.75 | +3.1% |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 | -3.6% |
| Türkiye Win | 43% | 2.00 | -13.4% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Paraguay or the draw at 1.77 (57% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 57% | 1.77 | +0.4% |
| Türkiye or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 72% | 1.25 | -9.4% |
| Türkiye or Paraguay – Double Chance (12) | 71% | 1.25 | -11.5% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 64% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 37% | 3.20 | +19.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.80 | +15.6% |
| Under 3.5 | 83% | 1.28 | +6.6% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 1.33 | -16.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.00 | -28.4% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 3.55 | -40.7% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 58%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.93 | +11.7% |
| BTTS Yes | 42% | 1.77 | -25.5% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Türkiye or Paraguay is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Türkiye +2.5 | 98% | 1.01 | -1.5% |
| Türkiye +1.5 | 91% | 1.04 | -5.8% |
| Türkiye +0.5 | 72% | 1.27 | -7.9% |
| Türkiye -0.5 | 43% | 1.95 | -15.6% |
| Türkiye -1.5 | 19% | 3.80 | -27.4% |
| Türkiye -2.5 | 6% | 7.30 | -52.6% |
| Türkiye -3.5 | 2% | 19.00 | -65.8% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Türkiye vs Paraguay prediction correct?
Türkiye vs Paraguay finished 0-1. Our pre-match best bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.28, landed.
What is the prediction for Türkiye vs Paraguay?
Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 83% model probability. The biggest separate model edge is under 2.5 goals at 1.80 (+15.6% model edge).
Who is the favourite for Türkiye vs Paraguay?
Our model makes a Türkiye win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.1 scoreline for Türkiye vs Paraguay.
What is the predicted score for Türkiye vs Paraguay?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 1.52 for Türkiye and 1.05 for Paraguay. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Türkiye and Paraguay play?
Kick-off is Saturday 20 June 2026, 03:00 UTC at Levi's Stadium – Santa Clara.
Where is Türkiye vs Paraguay being played?
The match takes place at Levi's Stadium – Santa Clara, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then shown next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
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