vs
⚽ World Cup 2026 · Round of 16
Switzerland vs Colombia Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Switzerland vs Colombia at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Tuesday 07 July 2026, 20:00 UTC at BC Place – Vancouver.
Result: Switzerland 0-0 Colombia
Switzerland vs Colombia finished 0-0 (Switzerland won 4-3 on penalties). Switzerland won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.45, did not land.
Switzerland met Colombia in Round of 16 of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at BC Place – Vancouver, finishing 0-0 (Switzerland won 4-3 on penalties). Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Colombia win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.0-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Switzerland vs Colombia with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 10.2% | 12.8% | 8.1% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| 1 | 10.4% | 13.1% | 8.3% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Our prediction for Switzerland vs Colombia is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.45, the selection our model is most confident in at 80%. On the match result, the model rates a Colombia win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points yes (59%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 2.35 (+33.7% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Switzerland at 29% to win and Colombia at 48%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Colombia win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Colombia Win | 48% | 2.30 | +9.5% |
| Switzerland Win | 29% | 3.25 | -7.0% |
| Draw | 24% | 3.05 | -27.4% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Switzerland or Colombia (draw excluded) at 1.30 (76% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland or Colombia – Double Chance (12) | 76% | 1.30 | -0.9% |
| Colombia or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 71% | 1.33 | -5.0% |
| Switzerland or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 52% | 1.57 | -17.7% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 34% | 4.50 | +55.2% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 2.35 | +33.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 1.45 | +15.4% |
| Under 3.5 | 66% | 1.20 | -21.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 1.57 | -32.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 20% | 2.70 | -44.9% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.95 | +14.5% |
| BTTS No | 41% | 1.75 | -27.7% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Switzerland or Colombia is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland -0.5 | 29% | 3.45 | -1.3% |
| Switzerland -1.5 | 12% | 7.80 | -6.4% |
| Switzerland +2.5 | 89% | 1.00 | -10.9% |
| Switzerland +1.5 | 75% | 1.19 | -11.2% |
| Switzerland +0.5 | 52% | 1.60 | -16.2% |
| Switzerland -2.5 | 4% | 13.00 | -48.0% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Switzerland vs Colombia prediction correct?
Switzerland vs Colombia finished 0-0 (Switzerland won 4-3 on penalties). Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.45, did not land.
What is the prediction for Switzerland vs Colombia?
Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.45, with 80% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 2.35 (+33.7% value).
Who is the favourite for Switzerland vs Colombia?
Our model makes a Colombia win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.0-1.3 scoreline for Switzerland vs Colombia.
What is the predicted score for Switzerland vs Colombia?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.02 for Switzerland and 1.26 for Colombia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Switzerland and Colombia play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 07 July 2026, 20:00 UTC at BC Place – Vancouver.
Where is Switzerland vs Colombia being played?
The match takes place at BC Place – Vancouver, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
More World Cup predictions
Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.