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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Scotland vs Morocco Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Scotland vs Morocco at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Friday 19 June 2026, 22:00 UTC at Gillette Stadium – Boston.
Result: Scotland 0-1 Morocco
Scotland vs Morocco finished 0-1. Morocco won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Scotland or Morocco (draw excluded) at 1.25, landed.
Scotland met Morocco in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Gillette Stadium – Boston, finishing 0-1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Morocco win the most likely result at 71%, projecting a 0.8-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Scotland vs Morocco with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 9.1% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| 1 | 7.5% | 11.8% | 9.3% | 4.9% | 1.9% |
| 2 | 3.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Our prediction for Scotland vs Morocco is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Scotland or Morocco (draw excluded) at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 80%. On the match result, the model rates a Morocco win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 71%. Goals lean under 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points no (67%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is a Morocco win at odds 1.71 (+21.6% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Scotland at 9% to win and Morocco at 71%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes a Morocco win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco Win | 71% | 1.71 | +21.6% |
| Draw | 20% | 3.50 | -29.6% |
| Scotland Win | 9% | 5.00 | -56.0% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Morocco or the draw at 1.17 (91% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 91% | 1.17 | +6.7% |
| Scotland or Morocco – Double Chance (12) | 80% | 1.25 | -0.1% |
| Scotland or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 29% | 2.00 | -42.2% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.8-1.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 68% | 1.40 | -4.1% |
| Under 3.5 | 78% | 1.22 | -4.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 1.65 | -4.6% |
| Over 2.5 | 42% | 2.20 | -7.2% |
| Under 1.5 | 32% | 2.90 | -8.7% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 4.20 | -9.7% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 67%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 67% | 1.70 | +14.4% |
| BTTS Yes | 33% | 2.05 | -33.0% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Scotland or Morocco is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scotland +3.5 | 91% | 1.02 | -7.1% |
| Scotland +2.5 | 78% | 1.11 | -13.3% |
| Scotland +1.5 | 56% | 1.35 | -24.5% |
| Scotland +0.5 | 29% | 2.05 | -40.8% |
| Scotland -0.5 | 9% | 4.80 | -57.8% |
| Scotland -1.5 | 2% | 12.25 | -77.9% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Scotland vs Morocco prediction correct?
Scotland vs Morocco finished 0-1. Our pre-match best bet, Scotland or Morocco (draw excluded) at 1.25, landed.
What is the prediction for Scotland vs Morocco?
Our main pick is Scotland or Morocco (draw excluded) at odds 1.25, with 80% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is a Morocco win at 1.71 (+21.6% value).
Who is the favourite for Scotland vs Morocco?
Our model makes a Morocco win the most likely result at 71%. It projects an expected 0.8-1.6 scoreline for Scotland vs Morocco.
What is the predicted score for Scotland vs Morocco?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 0.82 for Scotland and 1.58 for Morocco. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Scotland and Morocco play?
Kick-off is Friday 19 June 2026, 22:00 UTC at Gillette Stadium – Boston.
Where is Scotland vs Morocco being played?
The match takes place at Gillette Stadium – Boston, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.