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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Switzerland vs Canada Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Switzerland vs Canada at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Wednesday 24 June 2026, 19:00 UTC at BC Place – Vancouver.
Result: Switzerland 2-1 Canada
Switzerland vs Canada finished 2-1. Switzerland won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Switzerland met Canada in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at BC Place – Vancouver, finishing 2-1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Switzerland win the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 1.4-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Switzerland vs Canada with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.1% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 11.2% | 12.7% | 7.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 3 | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Our prediction for Switzerland vs Canada is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 82% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Switzerland win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean under 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points no (58%). Separately, the biggest gap between our model and the bookmaker price is both teams not to score at odds 1.95 (+12.3% model edge).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Switzerland at 50% to win and Canada at 23%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Switzerland win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland Win | 50% | 2.30 | +14.1% |
| Draw | 28% | 3.10 | -14.4% |
| Canada Win | 23% | 3.25 | -25.9% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Switzerland or the draw at 1.33 (77% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 77% | 1.33 | +2.7% |
| Switzerland or Canada – Double Chance (12) | 72% | 1.30 | -5.9% |
| Canada or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 50% | 1.57 | -20.9% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 62% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 35% | 3.10 | +8.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 1.75 | +8.1% |
| Under 3.5 | 82% | 1.28 | +4.4% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 1.35 | -12.2% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 2.05 | -21.7% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 3.65 | -32.8% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 58%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.95 | +12.3% |
| BTTS Yes | 42% | 1.77 | -25.0% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Switzerland or Canada is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland -0.5 | 50% | 2.25 | +11.6% |
| Switzerland -1.5 | 24% | 4.50 | +8.5% |
| Switzerland +0.5 | 77% | 1.35 | +4.2% |
| Switzerland +1.5 | 93% | 1.10 | +2.0% |
| Switzerland +2.5 | 98% | 1.01 | -0.7% |
| Switzerland -2.5 | 9% | 8.60 | -21.7% |
| Switzerland -3.5 | 3% | 25.00 | -30.0% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Switzerland vs Canada prediction correct?
Switzerland vs Canada finished 2-1.
What is the prediction for Switzerland vs Canada?
Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, with a 82% model probability. The biggest separate model edge is both teams not to score at 1.95 (+12.3% model edge).
Who is the favourite for Switzerland vs Canada?
Our model makes a Switzerland win the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.1 scoreline for Switzerland vs Canada.
What is the predicted score for Switzerland vs Canada?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.38 for Switzerland and 1.13 for Canada. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Switzerland and Canada play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 24 June 2026, 19:00 UTC at BC Place – Vancouver.
Where is Switzerland vs Canada being played?
The match takes place at BC Place – Vancouver, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then shown next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
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