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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Round of 32
Spain vs Austria Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Spain vs Austria at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Thursday 02 July 2026, 19:00 UTC at SoFi Stadium – Inglewood.
Result: Spain 3-0 Austria
Spain vs Austria finished 3-0. Spain won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Spain met Austria in Round of 32 of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at SoFi Stadium – Inglewood, finishing 3-0. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Spain win the most likely result at 66%, projecting a 2.2-0.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Spain vs Austria with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 12.0% | 8.7% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 13.0% | 9.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 9.3% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Our prediction for Spain vs Austria is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is a Spain win at odds 1.34, the selection our model is most confident in at 66%. On the match result, the model rates a Spain win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 66%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points yes (51%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is both teams to score at odds 2.00 (+1.6% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Spain at 66% to win and Austria at 14%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes a Spain win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Win | 14% | 8.80 | +26.7% |
| Draw | 20% | 4.75 | -6.4% |
| Spain Win | 66% | 1.34 | -11.7% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Austria or the draw at 3.20 (34% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austria or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 34% | 3.20 | +9.1% |
| Spain or Austria – Double Chance (12) | 80% | 1.17 | -6.0% |
| Spain or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 86% | 1.05 | -10.1% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-0.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 1.22 | -3.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.70 | -3.3% |
| Over 3.5 | 34% | 2.75 | -5.1% |
| Under 3.5 | 66% | 1.44 | -5.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.10 | -9.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 20% | 4.00 | -18.0% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 51%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 2.00 | +1.6% |
| BTTS No | 49% | 1.73 | -14.9% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Spain or Austria is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain +0.5 | 86% | 1.03 | -11.8% |
| Spain -0.5 | 66% | 1.30 | -14.3% |
| Spain -1.5 | 42% | 2.00 | -16.4% |
| Spain -2.5 | 22% | 3.45 | -25.1% |
| Spain -3.5 | 9% | 6.80 | -36.1% |
| Spain -4.5 | 4% | 14.00 | -51.0% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Spain vs Austria prediction correct?
Spain vs Austria finished 3-0.
What is the prediction for Spain vs Austria?
Our main pick is a Spain win at odds 1.34, with 66% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is both teams to score at 2.00 (+1.6% value).
Who is the favourite for Spain vs Austria?
Our model makes a Spain win the most likely result at 66%. It projects an expected 2.2-0.7 scoreline for Spain vs Austria.
What is the predicted score for Spain vs Austria?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.16 for Spain and 0.73 for Austria. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Spain and Austria play?
Kick-off is Thursday 02 July 2026, 19:00 UTC at SoFi Stadium – Inglewood.
Where is Spain vs Austria being played?
The match takes place at SoFi Stadium – Inglewood, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.