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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Ivory Coast vs Ecuador Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Ivory Coast vs Ecuador at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Sunday 14 June 2026, 23:00 UTC at Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia.
Result: Ivory Coast 1-0 Ecuador
Ivory Coast vs Ecuador finished 1-0. Ivory Coast won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, under 2.5 goals at 1.44, landed.
Ivory Coast met Ecuador in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia, finishing 1-0. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 0.9-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Ivory Coast vs Ecuador with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 12.5% | 14.3% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 13.4% | 7.6% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Our prediction for Ivory Coast vs Ecuador is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.44, the selection our model is most confident in at 86%. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean under 2.5 (86%), both teams to score points no (77%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 1.5 goals at odds 2.30 (+43.8% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Ivory Coast at 28% to win and Ecuador at 32%, with the draw at 40%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 40% | 2.82 | +12.5% |
| Ivory Coast Win | 28% | 3.35 | -5.9% |
| Ecuador Win | 32% | 2.46 | -21.3% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Ivory Coast or the draw at 1.53 (68% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ivory Coast or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 68% | 1.53 | +4.0% |
| Ecuador or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 72% | 1.30 | -6.5% |
| Ivory Coast or Ecuador – Double Chance (12) | 60% | 1.38 | -17.1% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.1 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 86% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 62% | 2.30 | +43.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 86% | 1.44 | +23.3% |
| Under 3.5 | 96% | 1.14 | +9.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 38% | 1.60 | -40.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 14% | 2.75 | -60.4% |
| Over 3.5 | 4% | 5.50 | -75.8% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 77%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 77% | 1.62 | +24.9% |
| BTTS Yes | 23% | 2.15 | -50.8% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Ivory Coast or Ecuador is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ivory Coast +0.5 | 68% | 1.57 | +6.8% |
| Ivory Coast +1.5 | 91% | 1.15 | +4.4% |
| Ivory Coast +2.5 | 98% | 1.02 | +0.1% |
| Ivory Coast -0.5 | 28% | 3.45 | -3.1% |
| Ivory Coast -1.5 | 7% | 7.80 | -42.3% |
| Ivory Coast -2.5 | 1% | 21.00 | -70.6% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Ivory Coast vs Ecuador prediction correct?
Ivory Coast vs Ecuador finished 1-0. Our pre-match best bet, under 2.5 goals at 1.44, landed.
What is the prediction for Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?
Our main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.44, with 86% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 1.5 goals at 2.30 (+43.8% value).
Who is the favourite for Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?
Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.1 scoreline for Ivory Coast vs Ecuador.
What is the predicted score for Ivory Coast vs Ecuador?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 0.94 for Ivory Coast and 1.14 for Ecuador. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Ivory Coast and Ecuador play?
Kick-off is Sunday 14 June 2026, 23:00 UTC at Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia.
Where is Ivory Coast vs Ecuador being played?
The match takes place at Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.