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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Haiti vs Scotland Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Haiti vs Scotland at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Sunday 14 June 2026, 01:00 UTC at Gillette Stadium – Boston.
Result: Haiti 0-1 Scotland
Haiti vs Scotland finished 0-1. Scotland won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.28, did not land.
Haiti met Scotland in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Gillette Stadium – Boston, finishing 0-1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Scotland win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 0.9-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Haiti vs Scotland with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| 1 | 5.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
| 2 | 2.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| 3 | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Our prediction for Haiti vs Scotland is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, the selection our model is most confident in at 81%. On the match result, the model rates a Scotland win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (60%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Haiti with a +1.5 start at odds 1.62 (+15.5% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Haiti at 26% to win and Scotland at 51%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Scotland win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Haiti Win | 26% | 5.50 | +42.5% |
| Draw | 23% | 4.10 | -6.1% |
| Scotland Win | 51% | 1.57 | -19.6% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Haiti or the draw at 2.38 (49% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Haiti or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 49% | 2.38 | +16.1% |
| Haiti or Scotland – Double Chance (12) | 77% | 1.18 | -9.0% |
| Scotland or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 74% | 1.13 | -16.3% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 3.25 | +19.6% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.90 | +12.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 1.28 | +3.8% |
| Under 3.5 | 63% | 1.33 | -15.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 1.85 | -24.5% |
| Under 1.5 | 19% | 3.55 | -32.9% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.91 | +13.8% |
| BTTS No | 40% | 1.80 | -27.3% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Haiti or Scotland is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Haiti -0.5 | 26% | 5.50 | +42.5% |
| Haiti +0.5 | 49% | 2.45 | +19.6% |
| Haiti -1.5 | 11% | 11.00 | +16.6% |
| Haiti +1.5 | 71% | 1.62 | +15.5% |
| Haiti +2.5 | 87% | 1.17 | +1.7% |
| Haiti +3.5 | 95% | 1.01 | -3.9% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Haiti vs Scotland prediction correct?
Haiti vs Scotland finished 0-1. Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.28, did not land.
What is the prediction for Haiti vs Scotland?
Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.28, with 81% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Haiti with a +1.5 start at 1.62 (+15.5% value).
Who is the favourite for Haiti vs Scotland?
Our model makes a Scotland win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.9 scoreline for Haiti vs Scotland.
What is the predicted score for Haiti vs Scotland?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 0.93 for Haiti and 1.94 for Scotland. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Haiti and Scotland play?
Kick-off is Sunday 14 June 2026, 01:00 UTC at Gillette Stadium – Boston.
Where is Haiti vs Scotland being played?
The match takes place at Gillette Stadium – Boston, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.