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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Argentina vs Austria Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Argentina vs Austria at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Monday 22 June 2026, 17:00 UTC at AT&T Stadium – Arlington.
Result: Argentina 2-0 Austria
Argentina vs Austria finished 2-0. Argentina won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.30, landed.
Argentina met Austria in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at AT&T Stadium – Arlington, finishing 2-0. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Argentina win the most likely result at 60%, projecting a 1.9-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Argentina vs Austria with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.5% | 10.2% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 12.7% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 7.9% | 6.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Our prediction for Argentina vs Austria is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 80%. On the match result, the model rates an Argentina win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 60%. Goals lean under 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points no (61%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.85 (+11.2% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Argentina at 60% to win and Austria at 16%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes an Argentina win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austria Win | 16% | 7.00 | +9.2% |
| Draw | 25% | 3.95 | -2.4% |
| Argentina Win | 60% | 1.49 | -11.0% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Austria or the draw at 2.55 (40% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austria or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 40% | 2.55 | +2.8% |
| Argentina or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 84% | 1.09 | -8.0% |
| Argentina or Austria – Double Chance (12) | 75% | 1.20 | -9.6% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 60% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 34% | 3.35 | +12.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 60% | 1.85 | +11.2% |
| Under 3.5 | 80% | 1.30 | +4.4% |
| Over 1.5 | 66% | 1.30 | -13.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 1.93 | -23.0% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 3.35 | -34.0% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 61%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 61% | 1.73 | +5.0% |
| BTTS Yes | 39% | 2.00 | -21.4% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Argentina or Austria is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina +1.5 | 96% | 1.01 | -3.1% |
| Argentina +0.5 | 84% | 1.12 | -5.5% |
| Argentina -0.5 | 60% | 1.48 | -11.6% |
| Argentina -1.5 | 33% | 2.38 | -22.2% |
| Argentina -2.5 | 14% | 4.50 | -36.6% |
| Argentina -3.5 | 5% | 8.70 | -57.4% |
| Argentina -4.5 | 1% | 22.00 | -69.2% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Argentina vs Austria prediction correct?
Argentina vs Austria finished 2-0. Our pre-match best bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.30, landed.
What is the prediction for Argentina vs Austria?
Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with 80% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 1.85 (+11.2% value).
Who is the favourite for Argentina vs Austria?
Our model makes an Argentina win the most likely result at 60%. It projects an expected 1.9-0.8 scoreline for Argentina vs Austria.
What is the predicted score for Argentina vs Austria?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 1.88 for Argentina and 0.76 for Austria. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Argentina and Austria play?
Kick-off is Monday 22 June 2026, 17:00 UTC at AT&T Stadium – Arlington.
Where is Argentina vs Austria being played?
The match takes place at AT&T Stadium – Arlington, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.