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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Round of 16
Argentina vs Egypt Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Argentina vs Egypt at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Tuesday 07 July 2026, 16:00 UTC at Mercedes-Benz Stadium – Atlanta.
Result: Argentina 3-2 Egypt
Argentina vs Egypt finished 3-2. Argentina won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, under 2.5 goals at 1.80, did not land.
Argentina met Egypt in Round of 16 of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Mercedes-Benz Stadium – Atlanta, finishing 3-2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Argentina win the most likely result at 64%, projecting a 2.0-0.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Argentina vs Egypt with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.7% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.0% | 9.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 2 | 14.7% | 9.0% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 9.6% | 5.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Our prediction for Argentina vs Egypt is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.80, the selection our model is most confident in at 70%. On the match result, the model rates an Argentina win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 64%. Goals lean under 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points no (73%).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Argentina at 64% to win and Egypt at 10%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes an Argentina win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 26% | 4.35 | +11.8% |
| Egypt Win | 10% | 8.70 | -9.5% |
| Argentina Win | 64% | 1.38 | -12.0% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Egypt or the draw at 3.00 (36% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 36% | 3.00 | +8.6% |
| Argentina or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 90% | 1.05 | -5.9% |
| Argentina or Egypt – Double Chance (12) | 74% | 1.20 | -10.8% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-0.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 70% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 43% | 3.25 | +40.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 70% | 1.80 | +26.2% |
| Under 3.5 | 87% | 1.28 | +11.7% |
| Over 1.5 | 57% | 1.33 | -24.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 2.00 | -40.2% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 3.50 | -55.5% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 73%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 73% | 1.57 | +14.9% |
| BTTS Yes | 27% | 2.25 | -39.7% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Argentina or Egypt is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina -0.5 | 64% | 1.35 | -13.9% |
| Argentina -1.5 | 34% | 2.15 | -26.7% |
| Argentina -2.5 | 14% | 3.90 | -45.0% |
| Argentina -3.5 | 5% | 7.90 | -62.9% |
| Argentina -4.5 | 1% | 16.50 | -78.5% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Argentina vs Egypt prediction correct?
Argentina vs Egypt finished 3-2. Our pre-match best bet, under 2.5 goals at 1.80, did not land.
What is the prediction for Argentina vs Egypt?
Our main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.80, with 70% model confidence.
Who is the favourite for Argentina vs Egypt?
Our model makes an Argentina win the most likely result at 64%. It projects an expected 2.0-0.6 scoreline for Argentina vs Egypt.
What is the predicted score for Argentina vs Egypt?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 1.96 for Argentina and 0.61 for Egypt. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Argentina and Egypt play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 07 July 2026, 16:00 UTC at Mercedes-Benz Stadium – Atlanta.
Where is Argentina vs Egypt being played?
The match takes place at Mercedes-Benz Stadium – Atlanta, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.