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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Quarter-final
France vs Morocco Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for France vs Morocco at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Thursday 09 July 2026, 20:00 UTC at Gillette Stadium – Boston.
Result: France 2-0 Morocco
France vs Morocco finished 2-0. France won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.33, landed.
France met Morocco in Quarter-final of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Gillette Stadium – Boston, finishing 2-0. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a France win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.8-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for France vs Morocco with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.0% | 10.7% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 11.8% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Our prediction for France vs Morocco is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, the selection our model is most confident in at 90%. On the match result, the model rates a France win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean under 2.5 (74%), both teams to score points no (66%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Morocco or the draw at odds 2.30 (+45.1% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices France at 37% to win and Morocco at 30%, with the draw at 33%. Our model makes a France win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco Win | 30% | 6.00 | +80.0% |
| Draw | 33% | 3.80 | +25.8% |
| France Win | 37% | 1.56 | -42.4% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Morocco or the draw at 2.30 (63% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 63% | 2.30 | +45.1% |
| France or Morocco – Double Chance (12) | 67% | 1.20 | -19.7% |
| France or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 70% | 1.12 | -21.6% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 74% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 47% | 3.40 | +60.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 74% | 1.85 | +36.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 90% | 1.33 | +19.2% |
| Over 1.5 | 53% | 1.30 | -31.4% |
| Over 2.5 | 26% | 1.93 | -49.4% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 3.30 | -65.7% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 66%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 66% | 1.80 | +18.3% |
| BTTS Yes | 34% | 1.91 | -34.5% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when France or Morocco is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| France +1.5 | 90% | 1.01 | -8.9% |
| France +0.5 | 70% | 1.12 | -21.6% |
| France -0.5 | 37% | 1.53 | -43.5% |
| France -1.5 | 14% | 2.50 | -66.0% |
| France -2.5 | 4% | 5.00 | -81.5% |
| France -3.5 | 1% | 10.50 | -91.6% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the France vs Morocco prediction correct?
France vs Morocco finished 2-0. Our pre-match best bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.33, landed.
What is the prediction for France vs Morocco?
Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with 90% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Morocco or the draw at 2.30 (+45.1% value).
Who is the favourite for France vs Morocco?
Our model makes a France win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.8-0.8 scoreline for France vs Morocco.
What is the predicted score for France vs Morocco?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 1.81 for France and 0.82 for Morocco. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do France and Morocco play?
Kick-off is Thursday 09 July 2026, 20:00 UTC at Gillette Stadium – Boston.
Where is France vs Morocco being played?
The match takes place at Gillette Stadium – Boston, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.