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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Iraq vs Norway Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Iraq vs Norway at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Tuesday 16 June 2026, 22:00 UTC at Gillette Stadium – Boston.
Result: Iraq 1-4 Norway
Iraq vs Norway finished 1-4. Norway won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Iraq met Norway in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Gillette Stadium – Boston, finishing 1-4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Norway win the most likely result at 72%, projecting a 0.7-2.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Iraq vs Norway with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.5% | 10.9% | 13.2% | 10.6% | 6.5% |
| 1 | 3.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 4.4% |
| 2 | 1.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Our prediction for Iraq vs Norway is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Iraq with a +2.5 start at odds 1.50, the selection our model is most confident in at 74%. On the match result, the model rates a Norway win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 72%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points no (58%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Iraq with a +1.5 start at odds 2.20 (+15.3% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Iraq at 10% to win and Norway at 72%, with the draw at 18%. Our model makes a Norway win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 18% | 6.75 | +21.5% |
| Iraq Win | 10% | 10.00 | -1.0% |
| Norway Win | 72% | 1.22 | -12.0% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Iraq or the draw at 4.20 (28% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 28% | 4.20 | +17.2% |
| Norway or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 90% | 1.04 | -6.3% |
| Iraq or Norway – Double Chance (12) | 82% | 1.10 | -9.8% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.7-2.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.35 | +9.7% |
| Under 1.5 | 23% | 4.75 | +8.8% |
| Under 3.5 | 69% | 1.53 | +5.6% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 1.18 | -9.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.57 | -16.3% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 2.45 | -24.0% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 58%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 42% | 2.20 | -6.7% |
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.60 | -7.8% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Iraq or Norway is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq +0.5 | 28% | 4.50 | +25.5% |
| Iraq +1.5 | 52% | 2.20 | +15.3% |
| Iraq +2.5 | 74% | 1.50 | +11.5% |
| Iraq -0.5 | 10% | 11.00 | +8.9% |
| Iraq +3.5 | 88% | 1.19 | +5.3% |
| Iraq +4.5 | 96% | 1.01 | -3.4% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Iraq vs Norway prediction correct?
Iraq vs Norway finished 1-4.
What is the prediction for Iraq vs Norway?
Our main pick is Iraq with a +2.5 start at odds 1.50, with 74% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Iraq with a +1.5 start at 2.20 (+15.3% value).
Who is the favourite for Iraq vs Norway?
Our model makes a Norway win the most likely result at 72%. It projects an expected 0.7-2.4 scoreline for Iraq vs Norway.
What is the predicted score for Iraq vs Norway?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 0.68 for Iraq and 2.42 for Norway. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Iraq and Norway play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 16 June 2026, 22:00 UTC at Gillette Stadium – Boston.
Where is Iraq vs Norway being played?
The match takes place at Gillette Stadium – Boston, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.