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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
France vs Iraq Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for France vs Iraq at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Monday 22 June 2026, 21:00 UTC at Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia.
Result: France 3-0 Iraq
France vs Iraq finished 3-0. France won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
France met Iraq in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia, finishing 3-0. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a France win the most likely result at 81%, projecting a 3.1-0.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for France vs Iraq with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 12.3% | 6.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 3 | 12.8% | 7.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 9.9% | 5.6% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Our prediction for France vs Iraq is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is both teams not to score at odds 1.42, the selection our model is most confident in at 72%. On the match result, the model rates a France win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 81%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points no (72%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.93 (+37.8% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices France at 81% to win and Iraq at 4%, with the draw at 14%. Our model makes a France win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 14% | 10.75 | +50.5% |
| Iraq Win | 4% | 22.00 | -1.0% |
| France Win | 81% | 1.07 | -12.9% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Iraq or the draw at 7.50 (19% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 19% | 7.50 | +39.5% |
| France or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 96% | 1.01 | -3.5% |
| France or Iraq – Double Chance (12) | 86% | 1.04 | -10.6% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 3.1-0.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 25% | 7.00 | +74.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 3.25 | +60.2% |
| Under 3.5 | 71% | 1.93 | +37.8% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 1.09 | -18.1% |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 1.33 | -32.6% |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 1.85 | -47.1% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 72%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 72% | 1.42 | +1.7% |
| BTTS Yes | 28% | 2.65 | -24.7% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when France or Iraq is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| France +0.5 | 96% | 1.01 | -3.5% |
| France -0.5 | 81% | 1.10 | -10.5% |
| France -1.5 | 58% | 1.27 | -26.5% |
| France -2.5 | 34% | 1.70 | -42.4% |
| France -3.5 | 16% | 2.68 | -55.8% |
| France -4.5 | 7% | 4.50 | -69.4% |
| France -5.5 | 2% | 6.30 | -84.9% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the France vs Iraq prediction correct?
France vs Iraq finished 3-0.
What is the prediction for France vs Iraq?
Our main pick is both teams not to score at odds 1.42, with 72% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 3.5 goals at 1.93 (+37.8% value).
Who is the favourite for France vs Iraq?
Our model makes a France win the most likely result at 81%. It projects an expected 3.1-0.6 scoreline for France vs Iraq.
What is the predicted score for France vs Iraq?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 3-1, based on expected goals of 3.11 for France and 0.56 for Iraq. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do France and Iraq play?
Kick-off is Monday 22 June 2026, 21:00 UTC at Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia.
Where is France vs Iraq being played?
The match takes place at Lincoln Financial Field – Philadelphia, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.