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⚽ UEFA Europa League
Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 17 September 2026, 16:45 UTC.
Levski Sofia face Red Bull Salzburg in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Thursday 17 September 2026, 16:45 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 8.5% | 9.9% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 8.5% | 9.8% | 5.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 5.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Levski Sofia or Draw at odds 1.57, the selection our model is most confident in at 79%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (59%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Levski Sofia come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at home to Spartak Varna. Their most recent defeat was 2-4 at home to CSKA Sofia.
- LLevski Sofia 2-4 CSKA SofiaSuper Cup
- WLevski Sofia 1-0 CSKA 1948First League
- LAEK Athens FC 4-0 Levski SofiaUEFA Champions League
- WLevski Sofia 6-0 Spartak VarnaFirst League
- DLevski Sofia 0-0 AEK Athens FCUEFA Champions League
Red Bull Salzburg come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 1. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at SKN ST. Polten. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WSKN ST. Polten 0-3 Red Bull SalzburgCup
- WRed Bull Salzburg 4-1 Austria ViennaBundesliga
- WRed Bull Salzburg 3-0 Mjallby AIFUEFA Europa League
- WMjallby AIF 0-1 Red Bull SalzburgUEFA Europa League
- WWSG Wattens 0-3 Red Bull SalzburgBundesliga
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Levski Sofia or Draw at 1.57 (79% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia or Draw | 79% | @ 1.57 | n/a |
| Red Bull Salzburg or Draw | 44% | @ 1.36 | n/a |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 82% | @ 1.20 | n/a |
| Under 1.5 | 18% | @ 4.50 | n/a |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | @ 1.62 | n/a |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | @ 2.30 | n/a |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | @ 2.50 | n/a |
| Under 3.5 | 61% | @ 1.53 | n/a |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 59%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 59% | @ 1.50 | n/a |
| BTTS No | 41% | @ 2.50 | n/a |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg?
Our main pick is Levski Sofia or Draw at odds 1.57, with 79% model confidence.
What is the predicted score for Levski Sofia vs Red Bull Salzburg?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.99 for Levski Sofia and 1.16 for Red Bull Salzburg. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Levski Sofia and Red Bull Salzburg play?
Kick-off is Thursday 17 September 2026, 16:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
