Thu 29 Oct22:30Upcoming

⚽ Brazilian Série A

Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro in the Brazilian Série A. Kick-off Thursday 29 October 2026, 22:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Atlético Mineiro face Cruzeiro in the Brazilian Série A, kicking off Thursday 29 October 2026, 22:30 UTC. Recent form: Atlético Mineiro have 3 wins from their last 5, while Cruzeiro have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Atlético Mineiro won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Atlético Mineiro win the most likely result at 40%, projecting a 1.5-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.33

72%Bookmaker odds imply 72%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.46 – 1.23 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.8%	8.3%	5.1%	2.1%	0.6%
1	9.9%	12.2%	7.5%	3.1%	0.9%
2	7.2%	8.9%	5.5%	2.2%	0.7%
3	3.5%	4.3%	2.7%	1.1%	0.3%
4	1.3%	1.6%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Atlético Mineiro winDrawCruzeiro win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates an Atlético Mineiro win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 40%. Goals lean over 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points yes (55%).

📊 Key numbers

Atlético Mineiro 40%Draw 28%Cruzeiro 32%

40%28%32%

40%

Atlético Mineiro Win

50%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Atlético Mineiro and Cruzeiro. Wins shown from Atlético Mineiro’s perspective: Atlético Mineiro 3 · 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-02	Atlético Mineiro	2 – 1	Cruzeiro	W
2026-08-26	Cruzeiro	1 – 1	Atlético Mineiro	D
2026-05-03	Cruzeiro	1 – 3	Atlético Mineiro	W
2024-08-11	Cruzeiro	0 – 0	Atlético Mineiro	D
2024-04-21	Atlético Mineiro	3 – 0	Cruzeiro	W

📈 Recent form

Atlético Mineiro

Atlético Mineiro come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Atletico Torque. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Atletico Torque.

LAtletico Torque 2-0 Atlético MineiroCONMEBOL Sudamericana
WAtlético Mineiro 1-0 CoritibaBrazilian Série A
WAtlético Mineiro 3-0 Atletico TorqueCONMEBOL Sudamericana
WAtlético Mineiro 2-1 SantosBrazilian Série A
DAthletico Paranaense 2-2 Atlético MineiroBrazilian Série A

Cruzeiro

Cruzeiro come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at Grêmio. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-4 at RB Bragantino.

WCruzeiro 1-0 RemoBrazilian Série A
WGrêmio 2-4 CruzeiroBrazilian Série A
LRB Bragantino 4-2 CruzeiroBrazilian Série A
WCruzeiro 2-0 São PauloBrazilian Série A
WVitória 1-3 CruzeiroBrazilian Série A

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Atlético Mineiro at 40% to win and Cruzeiro at 32%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes an Atlético Mineiro win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Atlético Mineiro Win	40%	39%	@ 2.40
Cruzeiro Win	32%	33%	@ 2.80
Draw	28%	28%	@ 3.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Atlético Mineiro or Draw at 1.40 (67% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Atlético Mineiro or Draw	67%	67%	@ 1.40
Cruzeiro or Draw	59%	61%	@ 1.53

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	75%	@ 1.28
Under 3.5	72%	72%	@ 1.33
Over 2.5	50%	49%	@ 1.95
Under 2.5	50%	51%	@ 1.85
Over 3.5	28%	28%	@ 3.40
Under 1.5	25%	25%	@ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 55%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	55%	53%	@ 1.75
BTTS No	45%	47%	@ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

Atlético Mineiro 39%Draw 28%Cruzeiro 33%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro?

Our pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.33, with a 72% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro?

Our model makes an Atlético Mineiro win the most likely result at 40%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.2 scoreline for Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro.

What is the predicted score for Atlético Mineiro vs Cruzeiro?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.46 for Atlético Mineiro and 1.23 for Cruzeiro. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Atlético Mineiro and Cruzeiro play?

Kick-off is Thursday 29 October 2026, 22:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.