Lillestrom

Thu 17 Sep1-2Finished

Torreense

⚽ UEFA Europa League

Lillestrom vs Torreense Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Lillestrom vs Torreense in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 17 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Lillestrom 1-2 Torreense

Lillestrom vs Torreense finished 1-2. Torreense won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.53, landed.

Lillestrom face Torreense in the upcoming UEFA Europa League tips, kicking off Thursday 17 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 50%, projecting a 1.7-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Lillestrom vs Torreense with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Torreense +2 @ 1.29

91%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.67 – 1.17 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.8%	6.8%	4.0%	1.6%	0.5%
1	9.8%	11.4%	6.7%	2.6%	0.8%
2	8.1%	9.5%	5.6%	2.2%	0.6%
3	4.5%	5.3%	3.1%	1.2%	0.4%
4	1.9%	2.2%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Lillestrom winDrawTorreense win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Lillestrom vs Torreense comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Torreense with a +2 start at odds 1.29, with a 91% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 50%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (56%).

📊 Key numbers

Lillestrom 20%Draw 50%Torreense 30%

20%50%30%

50%

Draw

54%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Lillestrom

Lillestrom come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Aurskog Finstadbru. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Viking.

LViking 3-0 LillestromEliteserien
LLillestrom 1-2 TorreenseUEFA Europa League
WLillestrom 2-0 ValerengaEliteserien
WBrann 1-2 LillestromEliteserien
WAurskog Finstadbru 0-3 LillestromNM Cupen

Torreense

Torreense come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Benfica B. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at home to Vizela.

WLillestrom 1-2 TorreenseUEFA Europa League
WBenfica B 0-2 TorreenseSegunda Liga
LTorreense 0-3 VizelaSegunda Liga
DLusitânia Lourosa 2-2 TorreenseSegunda Liga
DTorreense 2-2 PenafielSegunda Liga

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Lillestrom

L. AlperudInjury
E. B. GarnasKnee Injury
C. JebaraInjury

Torreense

No absentees reported.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Lillestrom at 20% to win and Torreense at 30%, with the draw at 50%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Draw	50%	21%	@ 4.50
Torreense Win	30%	16%	@ 5.75
Lillestrom Win	20%	63%	@ 1.50

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Torreense or Draw at 2.50 (68% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Torreense or Draw	68%	37%	@ 2.50
Lillestrom or Draw	58%	84%	@ 1.14

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	79%	@ 1.20
Under 3.5	68%	62%	@ 1.53
Over 2.5	54%	59%	@ 1.62
Under 2.5	46%	41%	@ 2.30
Over 3.5	32%	38%	@ 2.50
Under 1.5	22%	21%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	56%	55%	@ 1.70
BTTS No	44%	45%	@ 2.05

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Lillestrom or Torreense is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Torreense +2	91%	74%	@ 1.29
Torreense +1.75	89%	66%	@ 1.45
Torreense +1.5	87%	60%	@ 1.59
Torreense +1.25	82%	54%	@ 1.75
Torreense +1	77%	47%	@ 2.06
Torreense +0.75	73%	41%	@ 2.33
Torreense +0.5	68%	36%	@ 2.61
Lillestrom +0.75	64%	85%	1.12
Torreense +0.25	61%	29%	@ 3.24
Lillestrom +0.5	58%	83%	1.14
Torreense 0	55%	20%	@ 4.67
Lillestrom +0.25	52%	82%	1.16
Torreense -0.25	48%	18%	@ 5.25
Lillestrom 0	45%	80%	1.19
Torreense -0.5	42%	17%	@ 5.75
Lillestrom -0.25	39%	71%	1.34
Torreense -0.75	36%	15%	@ 6.40
Lillestrom -0.5	32%	64%	1.49
Lillestrom -0.75	27%	59%	1.61
Lillestrom -1	23%	53%	1.82
Lillestrom -1.25	18%	46%	2.09
Lillestrom -1.5	13%	40%	2.36
Lillestrom -1.75	11%	34%	2.76
Lillestrom -2	9%	26%	3.60

📈 How the market moved

Lillestrom 64%Draw 20%Torreense 16%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lillestrom vs Torreense?

Our model's main pick is Torreense with a +2 start at odds 1.29, with a 91% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.

Who is the favourite for Lillestrom vs Torreense?

Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 50%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline for Lillestrom vs Torreense.

What is the predicted score for Lillestrom vs Torreense?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.67 for Lillestrom and 1.17 for Torreense. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Lillestrom and Torreense play?

Kick-off is Thursday 17 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.