⚽ UEFA Europa League

Plzen vs Union St. Gilloise Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Plzen vs Union St. Gilloise in the UEFA Europa League. Kick-off Thursday 17 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Plzen face Union St. Gilloise in the UEFA Europa League, kicking off Thursday 17 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Plzen win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 1.4-0.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Plzen vs Union St. Gilloise with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.40

86%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.35 – 0.63 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.8%	8.7%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%
1	18.6%	11.7%	3.7%	0.8%	0.1%
2	12.6%	7.9%	2.5%	0.5%	0.1%
3	5.7%	3.6%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
4	1.9%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Plzen winDrawUnion St. Gilloise win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Plzen vs Union St. Gilloise is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.40, the selection our model is most confident in at 86%. On the match result, the model rates a Plzen win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean under 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points no (67%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is both teams not to score at odds 2.10 (+39.8% model value).

Best value

BTTS No at odds 2.10, 67% model probability, +39.8% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Plzen 54%Draw 29%Union St. Gilloise 17%

54%29%17%

54%

Plzen Win

68%

Under 2.5 goals

67%

BTTS no

+39.8%

Best value: BTTS No

📈 Recent form

Plzen

Plzen come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Artis. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at FK Crvena Zvezda.

DHradec Králové 0-0 PlzenCzech Liga
WArtis 0-3 PlzenCzech Liga
DPlzen 1-1 SlováckoCzech Liga
WPlzen 4-1 FK Crvena ZvezdaUEFA Europa League
LFK Crvena Zvezda 3-0 PlzenUEFA Europa League

Union St. Gilloise

Union St. Gilloise come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at St. Truiden.

WCharleroi 2-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
WSt. Truiden 0-3 Union St. GilloiseJupiler Pro League
WUnion St. Gilloise 3-0 AnderlechtJupiler Pro League
DUnion St. Gilloise 0-0 Zulte WaregemJupiler Pro League
DBodo/Glimt 2-2 Union St. GilloiseUEFA Champions League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Plzen at 54% to win and Union St. Gilloise at 17%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Plzen win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Plzen Win	54%	@ 2.40	+29.6%
Draw	29%	@ 3.20	-7.1%
Union St. Gilloise Win	17%	@ 2.75	-53.4%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Plzen or Draw at 1.40 (80% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Plzen or Draw	80%	@ 1.40	+12.1%
Union St. Gilloise or Draw	43%	@ 1.53	-34.0%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-0.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	41%	@ 4.00	+64.6%
Under 2.5	68%	@ 2.00	+36.4%
Under 3.5	86%	@ 1.40	+20.5%
Over 1.5	59%	@ 1.25	-26.4%
Over 2.5	32%	@ 1.80	-42.8%
Over 3.5	14%	@ 3.00	-58.2%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 67%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	67%	@ 2.10	+39.8%
BTTS Yes	33%	@ 1.67	-44.2%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Plzen vs Union St. Gilloise?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.40, with 86% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is both teams not to score at 2.10 (+39.8% value).

Who is the favourite for Plzen vs Union St. Gilloise?

Our model makes a Plzen win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 1.4-0.6 scoreline for Plzen vs Union St. Gilloise.

What is the predicted score for Plzen vs Union St. Gilloise?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.35 for Plzen and 0.63 for Union St. Gilloise. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Plzen and Union St. Gilloise play?

Kick-off is Thursday 17 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.