This page was published before our methodology update of 17 September 2026. It may show labels such as "value", "expected value" or "AI Confidence", which we no longer use: in our own testing the bookmaker market was a better forecast than our model. Read the update
CanadavsBosnia & Herzegovina

⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage

Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Friday 12 June 2026, 19:00 UTC at BMO Field – Toronto.

Result: Canada 1-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina

Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Canada or the draw at 1.20, landed.

Canada met Bosnia & Herzegovina in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at BMO Field – Toronto, finishing 1-1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Canada win the most likely result at 69%, projecting a 1.9-0.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Canada or Draw – Double Chance (1X) @ 1.20
89%
High AI Confidence
Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.93 – 0.60 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 8.0% 4.8% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 15.4% 9.2% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1%
2 14.8% 8.9% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 9.5% 5.7% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.6% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
Projected score: 2-1
Canada winDrawBosnia & Herzegovina win

Our prediction for Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Canada or the draw at odds 1.20, with a 89% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Canada win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 69%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points no (61%). Separately, the biggest gap between our model and the bookmaker price is a Canada win at odds 1.86 (+28.5% model edge).

Largest model edge
Canada Win at odds 1.86, 69% model probability, +28.5% value versus the bookmaker price.

Key numbers

Canada 69%Draw 20%Bosnia & Herzegovina 11%
69%20%11%
69%
Canada Win
54%
Under 2.5 goals
61%
BTTS no
+28.5%
Model edge: Canada Win

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Canada at 69% to win and Bosnia & Herzegovina at 11%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes a Canada win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Canada Win 69% 1.86 +28.5%
Draw 20% 3.35 -32.3%
Bosnia & Herzegovina Win 11% 4.20 -55.1%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Canada or the draw at 1.20 (89% model).

Selection Model % Odds Value
Canada or Draw – Double Chance (1X) 89% 1.20 +7.2%
Canada or Bosnia & Herzegovina – Double Chance (12) 80% 1.25 -0.3%
Bosnia & Herzegovina or Draw – Double Chance (X2) 31% 1.91 -41.0%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-0.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Over 3.5 25% 4.20 +4.6%
Over 2.5 46% 2.20 +2.1%
Over 1.5 72% 1.40 +0.7%
Under 3.5 75% 1.22 -8.4%
Under 2.5 54% 1.65 -11.6%
Under 1.5 28% 2.90 -18.5%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 61%.

Selection Model % Odds Value
BTTS No 61% 1.77 +8.7%
BTTS Yes 39% 1.95 -24.7%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Canada or Bosnia & Herzegovina is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Canada -1.5 43% 3.45 +48.0%
Canada -2.5 22% 6.80 +46.2%
Canada -0.5 69% 1.80 +24.4%
Canada -3.5 9% 13.00 +14.4%
Canada +0.5 89% 1.23 +9.8%
Canada +2.5 100% 1.00 -0.4%
Canada +1.5 98% 1.00 -2.5%

Frequently asked questions

Was the Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction correct?

Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina finished 1-1. Our pre-match best bet, Canada or the draw at 1.20, landed.

What is the prediction for Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

Our main pick is Canada or the draw at odds 1.20, with a 89% model probability. The biggest separate model edge is a Canada win at 1.86 (+28.5% model edge).

Who is the favourite for Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

Our model makes a Canada win the most likely result at 69%. It projects an expected 1.9-0.6 scoreline for Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina.

What is the predicted score for Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 1.93 for Canada and 0.60 for Bosnia & Herzegovina. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Canada and Bosnia & Herzegovina play?

Kick-off is Friday 12 June 2026, 19:00 UTC at BMO Field – Toronto.

Where is Canada vs Bosnia & Herzegovina being played?

The match takes place at BMO Field – Toronto, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then shown next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds. No human opinion is involved.

Are these World Cup tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.

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