This page was published before our methodology update of 17 September 2026. It may show labels such as "value", "expected value" or "AI Confidence", which we no longer use: in our own testing the bookmaker market was a better forecast than our model. Read the update
QatarvsSwitzerland

⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage

Qatar vs Switzerland Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Qatar vs Switzerland at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Saturday 13 June 2026, 19:00 UTC at Levi's Stadium – Santa Clara.

Result: Qatar 1-1 Switzerland

Qatar vs Switzerland finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.22, landed.

Qatar met Switzerland in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Levi's Stadium – Santa Clara, finishing 1-1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Switzerland win the most likely result at 87%, projecting a 0.6-2.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Qatar vs Switzerland with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Over 1.5 @ 1.22
91%
High AI Confidence
Score probability heatmap (market-implied, exp. 0.64 – 2.42 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 4.7% 11.4% 13.8% 11.1% 6.7%
1 3.0% 7.2% 8.8% 7.1% 4.3%
2 1.0% 2.3% 2.8% 2.3% 1.4%
3 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%
4 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Projected score: 1-2
Qatar winDrawSwitzerland win

Our prediction for Qatar vs Switzerland is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.22, with a 91% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Switzerland win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 87%. Goals lean over 2.5 (76%), both teams to score points no (53%). Separately, the biggest gap between our model and the bookmaker price is over 3.5 goals at odds 2.75 (+55.9% model edge).

Largest model edge
Over 3.5 at odds 2.75, 57% model probability, +55.9% value versus the bookmaker price.

Key numbers

Qatar 4%Draw 9%Switzerland 87%
87%
87%
Switzerland Win
76%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
BTTS no
+55.9%
Model edge: Over 3.5

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Qatar at 4% to win and Switzerland at 87%, with the draw at 9%. Our model makes a Switzerland win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Switzerland Win 87% 1.21 +5.1%
Qatar Win 4% 13.50 -43.3%
Draw 9% 6.20 -44.8%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Qatar or Switzerland (draw excluded) at 1.11 (91% model).

Selection Model % Odds Value
Qatar or Switzerland – Double Chance (12) 91% 1.11 +1.1%
Switzerland or Draw – Double Chance (X2) 96% 1.03 -1.3%
Qatar or Draw – Double Chance (1X) 13% 4.20 -45.0%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.6-2.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 76% probability.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Over 3.5 57% 2.75 +55.9%
Over 2.5 76% 1.70 +29.5%
Over 1.5 91% 1.22 +10.9%
Under 3.5 43% 1.44 -37.6%
Under 2.5 24% 2.10 -50.0%
Under 1.5 9% 4.20 -61.8%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.

Selection Model % Odds Value
BTTS Yes 47% 2.38 +12.3%
BTTS No 53% 1.53 -19.2%

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Qatar or Switzerland is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Odds Value
Qatar +4.5 83% 1.00 -17.1%
Qatar +3.5 68% 1.16 -20.7%
Qatar +2.5 49% 1.42 -30.0%
Qatar +1.5 29% 2.15 -37.4%
Qatar +0.5 13% 4.15 -45.6%
Qatar -0.5 4% 11.00 -53.8%
Qatar -1.5 1% 33.00 -67.0%

Frequently asked questions

Was the Qatar vs Switzerland prediction correct?

Qatar vs Switzerland finished 1-1. Our pre-match best bet, over 1.5 goals at 1.22, landed.

What is the prediction for Qatar vs Switzerland?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.22, with a 91% model probability. The biggest separate model edge is over 3.5 goals at 2.75 (+55.9% model edge).

Who is the favourite for Qatar vs Switzerland?

Our model makes a Switzerland win the most likely result at 87%. It projects an expected 0.6-2.4 scoreline for Qatar vs Switzerland.

What is the predicted score for Qatar vs Switzerland?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 0.64 for Qatar and 2.42 for Switzerland. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Qatar and Switzerland play?

Kick-off is Saturday 13 June 2026, 19:00 UTC at Levi's Stadium – Santa Clara.

Where is Qatar vs Switzerland being played?

The match takes place at Levi's Stadium – Santa Clara, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then shown next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds. No human opinion is involved.

Are these World Cup tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

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