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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Brazil vs Morocco Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Brazil vs Morocco at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Saturday 13 June 2026, 22:00 UTC at MetLife Stadium – East Rutherford.
Result: Brazil 1-1 Morocco
Brazil vs Morocco finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.25, landed.
Brazil met Morocco in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at MetLife Stadium – East Rutherford, finishing 1-1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Morocco win the most likely result at 41%, projecting a 1.6-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Brazil vs Morocco with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.8% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 14.3% | 11.6% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 11.6% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 3 | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.5% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Our prediction for Brazil vs Morocco is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 83%. On the match result, the model rates a Morocco win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 41%. Goals lean under 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points no (58%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Morocco or the draw at odds 2.10 (+47.4% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Brazil at 30% to win and Morocco at 41%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Morocco win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco Win | 41% | 5.30 | +115.7% |
| Draw | 30% | 3.65 | +8.0% |
| Brazil Win | 30% | 1.67 | -50.2% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Morocco or the draw at 2.10 (70% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 70% | 2.10 | +47.4% |
| Brazil or Morocco – Double Chance (12) | 70% | 1.25 | -12.0% |
| Brazil or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 59% | 1.14 | -32.4% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 64% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 37% | 3.00 | +12.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 64% | 1.70 | +9.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 84% | 1.25 | +4.4% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 1.38 | -13.6% |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 2.10 | -25.2% |
| Over 3.5 | 16% | 3.80 | -37.3% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 58%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 58% | 1.75 | +1.0% |
| BTTS Yes | 42% | 1.95 | -17.5% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Brazil or Morocco is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brazil +1.5 | 83% | 1.02 | -15.6% |
| Brazil +0.5 | 59% | 1.17 | -30.6% |
| Brazil -0.5 | 30% | 1.67 | -50.2% |
| Brazil -1.5 | 11% | 2.85 | -69.5% |
| Brazil -2.5 | 3% | 6.00 | -82.6% |
| Brazil -3.5 | 1% | 11.00 | -93.4% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Brazil vs Morocco prediction correct?
Brazil vs Morocco finished 1-1. Our pre-match best bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.25, landed.
What is the prediction for Brazil vs Morocco?
Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, with 83% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Morocco or the draw at 2.10 (+47.4% value).
Who is the favourite for Brazil vs Morocco?
Our model makes a Morocco win the most likely result at 41%. It projects an expected 1.6-0.8 scoreline for Brazil vs Morocco.
What is the predicted score for Brazil vs Morocco?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 1.62 for Brazil and 0.81 for Morocco. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Brazil and Morocco play?
Kick-off is Saturday 13 June 2026, 22:00 UTC at MetLife Stadium – East Rutherford.
Where is Brazil vs Morocco being played?
The match takes place at MetLife Stadium – East Rutherford, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.