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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Australia vs Türkiye Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Australia vs Türkiye at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Sunday 14 June 2026, 04:00 UTC at BC Place – Vancouver.
Result: Australia 2-0 Türkiye
Australia vs Türkiye finished 2-0. Australia won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Australia met Türkiye in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at BC Place – Vancouver, finishing 2-0. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Australia win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 0.9-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Australia vs Türkiye with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.7% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 5.9% | 2.4% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.2% |
| 2 | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Our prediction for Australia vs Türkiye is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Australia with a +1.5 start at odds 1.40, the selection our model is most confident in at 90%. On the match result, the model rates an Australia win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean under 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points no (52%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Australia to win or draw at odds 2.15 (+57.2% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Australia at 46% to win and Türkiye at 27%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes an Australia win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Australia Win | 46% | 4.90 | +125.9% |
| Draw | 27% | 3.55 | -4.1% |
| Türkiye Win | 27% | 1.70 | -54.3% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Australia or the draw at 2.10 (73% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Australia or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 73% | 2.10 | +53.5% |
| Australia or Türkiye – Double Chance (12) | 73% | 1.22 | -10.9% |
| Türkiye or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 54% | 1.15 | -38.0% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 57% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.80 | +2.6% |
| Under 3.5 | 78% | 1.30 | +1.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 31% | 3.25 | +0.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 1.33 | -8.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.00 | -14.0% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 3.45 | -23.8% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 52% | 1.83 | -4.1% |
| BTTS Yes | 48% | 1.85 | -11.9% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Australia or Türkiye is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Australia -2.5 | 8% | 32.00 | +168.8% |
| Australia -1.5 | 22% | 10.50 | +133.1% |
| Australia -0.5 | 46% | 4.65 | +114.4% |
| Australia +0.5 | 73% | 2.15 | +57.2% |
| Australia +1.5 | 90% | 1.40 | +26.3% |
| Australia +2.5 | 97% | 1.12 | +9.0% |
| Australia +3.5 | 99% | 1.02 | +1.4% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Australia vs Türkiye prediction correct?
Australia vs Türkiye finished 2-0.
What is the prediction for Australia vs Türkiye?
Our main pick is Australia with a +1.5 start at odds 1.40, with 90% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Australia to win or draw at 2.15 (+57.2% value).
Who is the favourite for Australia vs Türkiye?
Our model makes an Australia win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.7 scoreline for Australia vs Türkiye.
What is the predicted score for Australia vs Türkiye?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 0.91 for Australia and 1.66 for Türkiye. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Australia and Türkiye play?
Kick-off is Sunday 14 June 2026, 04:00 UTC at BC Place – Vancouver.
Where is Australia vs Türkiye being played?
The match takes place at BC Place – Vancouver, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.