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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Spain vs Cape Verde Islands Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Spain vs Cape Verde Islands at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Monday 15 June 2026, 16:00 UTC at Mercedes-Benz Stadium – Atlanta.
Result: Spain 0-0 Cape Verde Islands
Spain vs Cape Verde Islands finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Spain met Cape Verde Islands in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Mercedes-Benz Stadium – Atlanta, finishing 0-0. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Spain win the most likely result at 90%, projecting a 3.1-0.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Spain vs Cape Verde Islands with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 2 | 12.9% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 3 | 13.2% | 7.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 4 | 10.1% | 5.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
Our prediction for Spain vs Cape Verde Islands is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Spain to win by 2+ goals at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 75%. On the match result, the model rates a Spain win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 90%. Goals lean over 2.5 (72%), both teams to score points no (65%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 3.5 goals at odds 1.93 (-0.2% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Spain at 90% to win and Cape Verde Islands at 3%, with the draw at 7%. Our model makes a Spain win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain Win | 90% | 1.08 | -2.8% |
| Draw | 7% | 10.75 | -20.4% |
| Cape Verde Islands Win | 3% | 23.00 | -40.2% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Spain or the draw at 1.01 (97% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 97% | 1.01 | -1.6% |
| Spain or Cape Verde Islands – Double Chance (12) | 93% | 1.04 | -3.7% |
| Cape Verde Islands or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 10% | 7.50 | -25.0% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 3.1-0.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 72% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 52% | 1.93 | -0.2% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 1.10 | -2.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 1.35 | -2.4% |
| Under 3.5 | 48% | 1.85 | -10.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 28% | 3.10 | -14.1% |
| Under 1.5 | 11% | 6.50 | -27.2% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 65%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 35% | 2.65 | -6.5% |
| BTTS No | 65% | 1.42 | -8.1% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Spain or Cape Verde Islands is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain -0.5 | 90% | 1.10 | -1.0% |
| Spain +0.5 | 97% | 1.01 | -1.6% |
| Spain -1.5 | 75% | 1.30 | -2.8% |
| Spain -2.5 | 54% | 1.77 | -3.9% |
| Spain -3.5 | 34% | 2.75 | -5.9% |
| Spain -4.5 | 19% | 5.00 | -6.5% |
| Spain -5.5 | 9% | 8.00 | -28.8% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Spain vs Cape Verde Islands prediction correct?
Spain vs Cape Verde Islands finished 0-0.
What is the prediction for Spain vs Cape Verde Islands?
Our main pick is Spain to win by 2+ goals at odds 1.30, with 75% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 3.5 goals at 1.93 (-0.2% value).
Who is the favourite for Spain vs Cape Verde Islands?
Our model makes a Spain win the most likely result at 90%. It projects an expected 3.1-0.5 scoreline for Spain vs Cape Verde Islands.
What is the predicted score for Spain vs Cape Verde Islands?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 3-1, based on expected goals of 3.07 for Spain and 0.53 for Cape Verde Islands. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Spain and Cape Verde Islands play?
Kick-off is Monday 15 June 2026, 16:00 UTC at Mercedes-Benz Stadium – Atlanta.
Where is Spain vs Cape Verde Islands being played?
The match takes place at Mercedes-Benz Stadium – Atlanta, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.