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⚽ World Cup 2026 · Group Stage
Belgium vs Egypt Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Belgium vs Egypt at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Kick-off Monday 15 June 2026, 19:00 UTC at Lumen Field – Seattle.
Result: Belgium 1-1 Egypt
Belgium vs Egypt finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.30, landed.
Belgium met Egypt in Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at Lumen Field – Seattle, finishing 1-1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Belgium win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 1.8-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Belgium vs Egypt with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.4% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 12.9% | 11.0% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| 2 | 11.3% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 6.6% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Our prediction for Belgium vs Egypt is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 81%. On the match result, the model rates a Belgium win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean under 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points no (57%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.83 (+11.6% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Belgium at 51% to win and Egypt at 22%, with the draw at 27%. Our model makes a Belgium win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt Win | 22% | 5.50 | +21.0% |
| Draw | 27% | 3.80 | +3.4% |
| Belgium Win | 51% | 1.63 | -17.2% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Egypt or the draw at 2.20 (49% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Egypt or Draw – Double Chance (X2) | 49% | 2.20 | +8.2% |
| Belgium or Draw – Double Chance (1X) | 78% | 1.14 | -11.1% |
| Belgium or Egypt – Double Chance (12) | 73% | 1.22 | -11.2% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 61% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 34% | 3.30 | +13.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 61% | 1.83 | +11.6% |
| Under 3.5 | 81% | 1.30 | +5.3% |
| Over 1.5 | 66% | 1.33 | -12.6% |
| Over 2.5 | 39% | 1.95 | -24.0% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 3.45 | -34.4% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 57%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 57% | 1.77 | +1.2% |
| BTTS Yes | 43% | 1.93 | -17.4% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Belgium or Egypt is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium +1.5 | 93% | 1.02 | -5.1% |
| Belgium +0.5 | 78% | 1.15 | -10.3% |
| Belgium -0.5 | 51% | 1.62 | -17.7% |
| Belgium -1.5 | 25% | 2.68 | -32.7% |
| Belgium -2.5 | 10% | 5.50 | -46.7% |
| Belgium -3.5 | 3% | 10.50 | -68.5% |
Frequently asked questions
Was the Belgium vs Egypt prediction correct?
Belgium vs Egypt finished 1-1. Our pre-match best bet, under 3.5 goals at 1.30, landed.
What is the prediction for Belgium vs Egypt?
Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with 81% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 1.83 (+11.6% value).
Who is the favourite for Belgium vs Egypt?
Our model makes a Belgium win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 1.8-0.9 scoreline for Belgium vs Egypt.
What is the predicted score for Belgium vs Egypt?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 1.76 for Belgium and 0.85 for Egypt. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Belgium and Egypt play?
Kick-off is Monday 15 June 2026, 19:00 UTC at Lumen Field – Seattle.
Where is Belgium vs Egypt being played?
The match takes place at Lumen Field – Seattle, as part of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these World Cup tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish a new pick every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.